The Houston Rockets (3-0) will try to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals when they travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to challenge the Utah Jazz (0-3) in game four of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The Rockets opened as 2-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it will air on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, April 22, 2019.
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz ATS Odds
In game three, Harden led the Rockets to a 104-101 win. He registered a double-double with 22 points and 10 assists. Houston covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined for 205 points, which was under the projected point total of 214.5. The Rockets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Jazz. Houston had a rate of 18.0, while Utah posted a mark of 14.0.
A little over half of the Rockets’ games have finished under the total. Houston holds records of 56-29 straight up (SU) and 43-39-3 against the spread (ATS).
Jazz games also have finished under the O/U total 50.6 percent of the time. Further, Utah owns records of 50-35 SU and 44-39-2 ATS.
The aggressive Utah offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Jazz currently rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.218, while Houston ranks 26th in FTA rate allowed (0.211). Moreover, the Rockets’ second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 113.2) will square off against the Jazz’s second-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 103.9).
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz Free Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Rockets rank 15th (13.9).
- Houston ranks fourth in steals per game (8.5) while Utah ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- The Jazz rank 13th in points in the paint per game (49.6) while the Rockets rank last (42.2).
- Houston ranks fifth in points off turnovers (18.0 per game) while Utah ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed (16.9 per game).
- Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Houston ranks 15th (13.6).
- The Jazz rank eighth in rebounds per game (46.3) while the Rockets rank 28th (42.2).
- The Jazz rank third in blocks per game (5.9) while the Rockets rank 17th (5.0).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (45.3) while Utah ranks ninth (34.1).
- Utah ranks eighth in assists per game (25.9) while Houston ranks 28th (21.2).
- Utah is 22-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 17-2.
- When reaching the century mark, the Jazz are 48-21 and the Rockets are 53-20.
- Utah is 21-20-1 ATS at home, while Houston is 18-23-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 24 of the Rockets’ 42 road games, while 23 of the Jazz’s 42 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 2 unders, 2 pushes and 1 over, while Utah has 2 overs, 2 pushes and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 120.8 points per game (6.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (5.9 below their season average).
- The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 10.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 4.4 points.