The Golden State Warriors (42-16), the league’s top scoring team and 8-point favorites, will clash against the Houston Rockets (33-25) at ORACLE Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Warriors (12-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings, 125-123, while the Rockets (2.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 111-106. The Golden State game finished 9 points over the projected point total of 239, while the Houston game went 16.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5.
Golden State’s 0.559 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Sacramento, who had a mark of 0.485. The Warriors’ mark was below their season average of 0.563. Houston, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (12.9 vs. 15.3). Golden State was led by Stephen Curry, who had 36 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Chris Paul, meanwhile played a key role for Houston with 23 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists.
In their two contests this season, the Rockets have won both. The two teams combined for 269 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 225.5. Houston won 135-134, covering as a 9-point underdog. Houston made good use of their 28 trips to the charity stripe, making 24 of them (85.7 percent). Golden State, on the other hand, was 14-15 (93.3 percent). James Harden put up a triple-double in the victory, with 44 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds.
Of the Rockets’ 58 games, 32 have gone over the projected point total. Houston comes into the contest with records of 33-25 straight up (SU) and 26-31-1 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Warriors also tend to go over the total (55.2 percent). Golden State has a superb 42-16 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (24-33-1 ATS).
Golden State could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while Houston ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 16th in second chance points per game (13.3) while the Warriors rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Houston ranks 29th (20.7).
- The Warriors rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.4) while the Rockets rank 27th (41.6).
- Golden State ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.3) while Houston ranks last (53.2).
- Houston averages 17.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0).
- The Rockets average 44.8 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Warriors rank 26th in three pointers allowed per game (33.4).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.6) while the Rockets rank 11th (5.3).
- Golden State ranks second in fast break points per game (19.7) while Houston ranks 21st (11.3).
- Houston is 9-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 6-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Warriors are 42-11 and the Rockets are 31-17.
- Golden State is 11-18-1 ATS at home, while Houston is 10-19 ATS on the road.
- In 29 road games, the Rockets have 15 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
- The Warriors have 16 unders and 14 overs in 30 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 2.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (5.1 above their season average).
