The Houston Rockets (9-9) will travel to Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards (7-12). The Rockets opened as 3.5-point favorites. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.
Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards ATS Odds
In the Wizards’ last matchup, they covered the 3.5-point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans, 124-114. The Rockets, meanwhile, were topped by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 117-108, and were unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Washington game finished 0.5 points over the projected point total of 237.5, while the Houston game went 16.5 points over the projected point total of 208.5.
The Wizards had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.622 (above their season average of 0.507) and had a better turnover percentage (12.3 vs. 13.9). Houston, meanwhile, was en fuego from three-point land (15-39; 38.5 percent). Otto Porter Jr. fueled Washington with 29 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Houston was lifted by James Harden, who put up 40 points and 13 assists.
This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Rockets won the last contest 120-104. Houston won the rebounding battle. The Rockets had more offensive rebounds (10 vs. three), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 33) and total rebounds (46 vs. 36). This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.
Rockets matchups tend to go over the total (55.6 percent). Houston holds records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 7-11 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Houston, games featuring the Wizards also tend to finish over the O/U total (68.4 percent). Additionally, Washington owns records of 7-12 SU and 6-12-1 ATS.
Clint Capela has been exceptional recently for Houston, averaging 23 points,14.2 rebounds,2.4 blocks over the last five games.
The physical Washington offense seems poised to dominate from the foul line. The Wizards rank fourth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.236, while Houston ranks 30th in FTA rate allowed (0.242).
Rockets at Wizards ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 3 in blocks allowed per game (4.277777777777778) while the Wizards rank 9 (4.894736842105263).
- Houston ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.9) while Washington ranks 28th (25.9).
- The Rockets rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while the Wizards rank 25th (47.5).
- Washington ranks sixth in steals per game (8.5) while Houston ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Washington ranks 14 in points in the paint per game (48.21052631578947) while Houston ranks 27 (42.888888888888886).
- The Rockets rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.0) while the Wizards rank 22nd (14.7).
- The Wizards rank 5 in points off turnovers per game (19.57894736842105) while the Rockets rank 20 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.72222222222222).
- Houston averages 41.4 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Washington ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (31.5).
- Houston is 4-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Washington is 2-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Rockets are 7-5 and the Wizards are 7-11.
- Houston is 4-6 ATS on the road, while Washington is 4-5-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Wizards’ 10 home games, while 5 of the Rockets’ 10 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Houston and Washington are both 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (9.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (3.1 above their season average).
- The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 5.1 for the season.
