Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction 04/20/19

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The Utah Jazz (0-2) will be 2.5-point favorites at home in game three of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs when they square off against the Houston Rockets (2-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 20, 2019.

Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz ATS Odds

In game two, Harden led the Rockets to a 118-98 victory. He registered a triple-double with 32 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists. The two teams combined to score 216 points, hitting the projected point total, and Houston covered as a 6.5-point favorite. Houston did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (25-30; 83.3 percent). Utah, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 16.2).

A little over half of the Rockets’ games have finished under the total. Houston heads into the contest with records of 55-29 straight up (SU) and 42-39-3 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for Jazz games in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Utah is 50-34 SU and 44-38-2 ATS.

The physical Utah offense could be living from the free throw line in this meeting. The Jazz currently rank fourth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.217, while Houston is among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 25th-ranked FTA rate of 0.210). Also, the Rockets rank second in offensive efficiency (113.4), while the Jazz rank second in defensive efficiency (104.0).

Rockets at Jazz Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Rockets rank 15th (13.9).
  • Houston averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Utah ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
  • The Jazz rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.3) while the Rockets rank 28th (42.1).
  • Houston ranks fifth in points off turnovers (18.1 per game) while Utah ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed (16.9 per game).
  • Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Houston ranks 17th (13.6).
  • The Jazz rank eighth in assists per game (25.9) while the Rockets rank 28th (21.2).
  • The Jazz rank third in blocks per game (5.8) while the Rockets rank 17th (5.0).
  • Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (45.3) while Utah ranks ninth (34.0).
  • Utah ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (49.8) while Houston ranks last (42.3).
  • Houston is 17-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Utah is 22-4.
  • The Jazz are 48-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Rockets are 52-20.
  • Houston is 17-23-1 ATS on the road, while Utah is 21-19-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 22 of the Jazz’s 41 home games, while 23 of the Rockets’ 41 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Rockets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Houston has 3 pushes, 1 under and 1 over, while Utah has 3 overs and 2 pushes.
  • The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 22.2, up from 5.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.8 points per game (14.0 above their season average).