Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Prediction 11/11/19

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It will be a matchup between two sensational offenses when the New Orleans Pelicans (2-7), 4-point underdogs, take on the Houston Rockets (6-3) at Smoothie King Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 243 points and it can be seen on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 11, 2019.

Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last contest. The Pelicans (2-point favorites) defeated the Charlotte Hornets 115-110, while the Rockets (6.5-point favorites) beat the Chicago Bulls 117-94. The New Orleans game finished 7.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5, while the Houston game finished 22 points under the projected point total of 233.

Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.241 (below their season average of 0.252) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.584 (above their season average of 0.521). Chicago was 0.163 and 0.398, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, New Orleans’ 0.627 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Charlotte, who had a mark of 0.477. The Pelicans’ mark was above their season average of 0.531, while the Hornets’ was below the 0.542 mark opponents have averaged against New Orleans this season. Brandon Ingram had a good outing for New Orleans, recording 25 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, James Harden fueled Houston with 42 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists.

In their first matchup this season, Russell Westbrook led the Rockets to a 126-123 victory. He registered a triple-double with 28 points, 13 assists and 10 rebounds. Houston was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite and the two teams combined for 249 points, which was over the projected point total of 238.5. Houston was successful at getting and making free throws. The Rockets made 27 of their 30 free throws (90.0 percent), while the Pelicans were 13-16 (81.3 percent).

Oddsmakers are known to place the total high when the Rockets are involved, as 55.6 percent of their contests have finished under the total. Houston is 6-3 straight up (SU), but they are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Houston, games including the Pelicans have typically gone over the total (66.7 percent). Additionally, New Orleans is 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS.

There should be a fair amount of transition action in this battle that features a pair of the NBA’s more up-tempo teams. New Orleans ranks fourth in possessions per game (106.4) and Houston is second (101.3) since last season. Additionally, the Rockets, who rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.224), will go head-to-head against the Pelicans, who rank 25th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.197).

Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Rockets average 42.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.0).
  • Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (45.3) while New Orleans ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
  • The Pelicans average 7.6 steals per game, which ranks third in the league. The Rockets rank 24th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Houston puts up 12.3 fast-break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 28th in fast-break points given up per game (16.2).
  • New Orleans ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (57.4) while Houston ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.2).
  • The Rockets average 13.3 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
  • The Pelicans average 27.0 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. The Rockets rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (23.9).
  • New Orleans ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (5.3) while Houston ranks 15th (4.6).
  • Houston ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while New Orleans ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • New Orleans is 5-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 19-2.
  • The Pelicans are 35-48 when they reach 100 points, while the Rockets are 62-26.