The Houston Rockets (2-2) will travel to ORACLE Arena to square off against the Golden State Warriors (2-2) in game five of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Rockets opened as 6-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219.5 points and it starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 8, 2019.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
In game four, Harden led the Rockets to a 112-108 win. He registered a double-double with 38 points and 10 rebounds. Houston covered as a 1-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 220 points, which was just over the projected point total of 219. Houston won the rebounding battle. The Rockets had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. eight), defensive rebounds (37 vs. 35) and total rebounds (50 vs. 43).
Games featuring the Rockets have gone under the total 49.5 percent of the time. Houston heads into the contest with records of 59-32 straight up (SU) and 46-42-3 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Warriors games have also finished under the total. Golden State is 63-29 SU, but they have a hard time covering the spread (39-52-1 ATS).
For the playoffs, the Warriors are 11-6 with 13 overs and four unders while the Rockets are 6-5 ATS with six overs and five unders
This battle figures to be a high-scoring affair as two of the league’s premier offenses go head-to-head. Golden State ranks first with 114.6 points per 100 possessions and Houston is second (112.9). Moreover, the Rockets, who rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.221), will clash against the Warriors, who rank 24th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.210).
Rockets vs. Warriors Odds Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.4) while the Rockets rank 16th (5.0).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.3) while Houston ranks 28th (20.9).
- The Rockets rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while the Warriors rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
- Golden State ranks third in fast break points per game (18.9) while Houston ranks 19th (12.0).
- Houston ranks fourth in steals per game (8.5) while Golden State ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- The Rockets average 45.2 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Warriors rank 26th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
- The Warriors rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.9) while the Rockets rank 28th (42.2).
- Houston averages 13.0 second chance points per game, which ranks 18th in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Golden State ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.7) while Houston ranks 25th (51.3).
- Houston is 18-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 10-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Warriors are 63-21 and the Rockets are 56-22.
- Houston is 19-25-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 18-27-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 27 of the Warriors’ 46 home games, while 26 of the Rockets’ 45 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 4.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (2.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
