Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 03/19/19

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A five-game road winning streak hangs in the balance for the Houston Rockets (44-26), who will be 7.5-point favorites when they challenge the Atlanta Hawks (24-47) at State Farm Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 19, 2019.

Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds

The last time the Rockets played, they covered the 9.5-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 117-102. The Hawks, meanwhile, were topped by the Orlando Magic, 101-91, and were not able to cover as 9-point underdogs. The Houston game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Atlanta game finished 33.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.

The Rockets had 9 steals and held the Timberwolves to an effective field goal percentage of 0.467 (below the 0.530 mark opponents have averaged against Houston this season). Atlanta, on the other hand, held Orlando to an effective field goal percentage of 0.441 (below their season average of 0.514). Atlanta was lifted by Dewayne Dedmon, who had 10 points and 14 rebounds. Chris Paul, meanwhile fueled Houston with 25 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Paul led the Rockets to a 119-111 victory. He produced 20 points, eight assists and six rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 230 points, which was just under the projected point total of 234.5, and Houston was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite. The Rockets’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Hawks. Houston had a rate of 10.4, while Atlanta posted a mark of 15.9.

Games featuring the Rockets have a slight tendency to go over the O/U total (50.0 percent). Houston holds records of 44-26 straight up (SU) and 32-36-2 against the spread (ATS).

Hawks games have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (56.3 percent). Moreover, Atlanta is 24-47 SU and 35-36 ATS.

It will be a showdown of conflicting styles as the up-and-down Hawks (ranked first in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more methodical Rockets (24th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Rockets rank second in offensive efficiency (112.4), while the Hawks rank 26th in defensive efficiency (111.1).

Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank 12th in rebounds per game (46.0) while the Rockets rank 28th (41.6).
  • Houston averages 44.7 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
  • The Hawks rank seventh in points in the paint per game (51.2) while the Rockets rank 29th (42.5).
  • Houston ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (23.4) while Atlanta ranks last (27.1).
  • Houston ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Atlanta ranks 26th (5.6).
  • The Rockets rank fifth in steals per game (8.6) while the Hawks rank last in steals allowed per game (10.0).
  • The Rockets rank 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while the Hawks rank last (16.7).
  • Atlanta ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.1) while Houston ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Houston averages 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Atlanta ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.9).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Houston is 12-2 and Atlanta is 3-2.
  • The Rockets are 41-18 when they score above 100 points, while the Hawks are 23-38.
  • Houston is 13-20-1 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 14-20 ATS at home.
  • The Rockets have 19 unders, 14 overs and 1 push in 34 road games.
  • In 34 home games, the Hawks have 19 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Rockets are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Houston has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Hawks have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Atlanta has lost by an average of 6.1 points.
  • During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.8 points per game (8.1 below their season average).