Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick

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The Houston Astros are facing off against the Washington Nationals in Game 4 of the World Series. The Nationals currently own a 2-1 series lead, and this matchup is slated to begin at 8:07 p.m. ET. It’s scheduled to be nationally televised on Fox.

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Taking into account the regular season, the Nationals are 103-72 straight up (SU) and 101-73 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 25.2 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 115-61 SU and have gone 95-80 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.7 units ATS.

Nationals games have an 82-82-10 over/under record in 2019. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 79-90-6.

Jose Urquidy will get the nod for the visiting Astros. Urquidy (2-1, 3.95 ERA) has racked up 40 strikeouts in 41 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Nationals are sending lefty Patrick Corbin (14-7, 3.25 ERA) to the hill. Corbin has 238 punchouts and 70 walks to his name as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Corbin did not register a start against the Astros in 2018.

Behind a team slash line of .222/.297/.377, the Astros have produced 3.7 runs per game through 14 postseason outings. Washington is hitting .255/.329/.409 over 13 games and the team has managed 4.8 runs in the 2019 playoffs.

The Nationals bullpen has registered an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.21 this postseason, while Astros relievers have a 4.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Houston’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel, who collectively have swatted 55 home runs. Brantley is hitting .310/.372/.490 with 23 home runs, 94 RBIs and 93 runs scored, while Gurriel has a .291 average with 32 homers, 114 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

The Nationals’ batters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .319/.411/.592 with 35 home runs, 135 RBIs and 126 runs scored, while Eaton’s line is .279/.365/.427 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs, 111 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Astros just took Game 3 of this series by a score of four runs to one.

Astros at Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Houston has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • Washington has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.4 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.