The Houston Astros are making a road trip to T-Mobile Park to play their division nemesis Seattle Mariners. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on RTNW, ESPN and ATSW.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Houston (-130) as the favorite over Seattle (+120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Astros -1.5 runs (+115) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-135).
The Mariners are just 25-37 straight up (SU) and 30-31 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.2 units ATS. The Astros have gone 40-20 SU this year and are 33-26 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 6.6 units for moneyline bettors and 6.4 units ATS.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 39-18-4 so far in 2019. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 24-34-1.
Corbin Martin is getting the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Martin is 1-1 with a 5.51 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mariners will turn to lefty Wade LeBlanc (2-2, 6.99 ERA), who’s got 23 strikeouts and eight walks, along with a 1.66 WHIP. LeBlanc is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Houston this year.
As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.35, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a 5.24 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 30 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.79.
The Seattle offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .203/.288/.399 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Domingo Santana and Mitch Haniger have led the charge for the Mariners’ offense this year. Santana is hitting .266/.335/.463 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs, 28 runs and five steals, while Haniger’s line is .227/.316/.472 with 14 homers, 31 RBIs and 44 runs.
For the visiting squad, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.63 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.99 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.87, along with a WHIP of 1.05 and a K-per-9 of 10.02.
The Astros offense has slashed .273/.351/.480 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Houston’s offense has been led by outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick. Brantley is slashing .329/.385/.533 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Reddick (.304/.351/.440) has produced six homers, 19 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Astros have gained 6.7 units and are 12-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 4.2 units and are 23-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve cashed the under.
Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Houston’s last seven games.
- The Astros have an OPS of .831 this season, including an OPS of .887 against left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .769 overall and .761 against lefties.
- The Astros have won five of their last six games SU while the Mariners have dropped five of their last six.
- Seattle has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
- The Astros have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
