Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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George Springer and the surging Houston Astros are preparing to take the field against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in a Tuesday night game. ATTSN Southwest will televise this AL showdown and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Las Vegas has Detroit (+165) as the underdog to Houston (-175). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 9.5 runs scored, then Vegas is teeing up +105 odds. Picking the over can return -125 odds. There’s a runline of Astros -1.5 (-120) and Tigers +1.5 (+100) for this matchup.

The Astros have gone 27-15 SU this year and are 21-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going, despite having lost 0.2 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 18-21 SU and 19-19 ATS. The team has gained 3.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.1 units ATS.

Detroit games have had an over/under record of 16-22 so far in 2019. The Astros have an over/under record of 19-21-1.

Southpaw Wade Miley is the probable starter for the visiting Astros. Miley is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts over three innings).

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Ryan Carpenter (0-1, 10.80 ERA), who has two strikeouts and one walks as well as a WHIP of 1.80. Carpenter did not re a start against the Astros in 2018.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.89 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.95, along with a WHIP of 1.04.

The Astros offense has slashed .281/.357/.507 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 8.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Houston’s offense has been powered by outfielders George Springer and Michael Brantley, who collectively have swatted 25 home runs. Springer is slashing .323/.400/.652 with 15 home runs, 38 RBIs and 36 runs scored. Brantley (.333/.378/.585) has produced 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.20, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 5.51 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .201/.264/.384 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led the Tigers’ offense this year. Cabrera is hitting .286/.350/.347 with 42 hits, 15 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while the line for Castellanos stands at .270/.323/.453 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 23 runs.

The Astros have gained 1.1 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 1.4 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to one that’ve gone under.

Astros vs. Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
  • Detroit has recorded 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 30 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Astros have a total OPS of .864 this season, including an OPS of .892 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .672 overall and .748 against southpaws.