The Boston Red Sox are set to host the Houston Astros at Fenway Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Odds
Vegas has listed Boston (+115) as the underdog to Houston (-125). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +120 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -140 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 23-20 straight up (SU) and 18-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 29-15 SU and have gone 24-20 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.8 units ATS.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 26-16-1 so far in 2019. Houston has an over/under record of 21-22-1.
Gerrit Cole is getting the nod for Houston. The right-handed Cole (4-4, 3.88 ERA) has recorded 86 strikeouts in 55.2 innings so far. He has yet to face Boston this year, but he did make two starts against the Red Sox in 2018, posting a 1-0 record against them with a 3.46 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Rick Porcello (3-3, 5.15 ERA), who has 40 punchouts and 18 walks, along with a 1.47 WHIP. Porcello made two starts against the Astros in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.74 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 7.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .314/.411/.559 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
J.D. Martinez has helped lead the Red Sox offense this season with nine home runs, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 9.95 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.84, along with a K-per-9 of 9.69.
The Astros offense has slashed .282/.358/.512 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 7.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 10.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Houston’s offense has been spearheaded by George Springer. Springer is slashing .320/.400/.651 with 16 home runs, 40 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Red Sox are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Rockies, while the Astros just got a 5-1 victory over the Tigers.
Astros at Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in six of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Astros have hit 26 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
- The Astros have an OPS of .870 this season and an OPS of .847 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .772 versus righties.
- Houston has posted 29.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 35.6 over its last five.
- The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Red Sox have taken six of their last seven.
