Toronto Maple Leafs vs. San Jose Sharks Free Prediction

Victor TrejosHockey, NHL

In a game that features a couple of the league’s best penalty-kill units, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the San Jose Sharks collide at the SAP Center. Sportsnet Ontario will broadcast this cross-continent matchup, and the puck drops at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 15.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. San Jose Sharks Odds

With a -130 moneyline, San Jose comes into the contest as the favorite. The line for Toronto sits at +110, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -125 under, +105 over.

Toronto is 12-6 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 2.4 units this year. 11 of its outings have gone under the total, while six have gone over and just one has pushed. As the away team in 2018-19, the Leafs are 7-1 SU.

Toronto has converted on 27.5 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a figure that places them in the top-10 among NHL teams. Additionally, its penalty kill is ranked fifth overall, and the team’s successfully killed off 84.3 percent of its penalties.

For the team as a whole, Toronto has been called for penalties just 2.9 times per game overall this season, 3.2 per game over its past five outings total, and 3.2 per game over its last five games as the visiting team. The team has been forced to stave off opponent power plays just 6.4 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

With a .934 save percentage and 28.4 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (10-5) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto this year. If head coach Mike Babcock decides to rest him, however, the team might go with Garret Sparks (2-1 record, .879 save percentage, 4.00 goals against average).

The visiting Maple Leafs have relied on Morgan Rielly and John Tavares heavily this season. Rielly has 23 points via eight goals and 15 assists, and has recorded multiple points six times. Tavares has 11 goals and 11 assists to his nameand has notched a point in 12 games.

On the other side of the ice, San Jose is 10-9 straight up (SU) and has lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. 11 of its contests have gone over the total, while eight have gone under and none have pushed. It’s 6-3 SU at home this season.

San Jose has converted on 17.7 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked second overall, and it’s successfully killed off 88.3 percent of all penalties.

The Sharks have been penalized only 3.7 times per game this season, and 2.4 per game over their last five home outings. The team’s been forced to kill penalties just 5.2 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Martin Jones (24.6 saves per game) has been the top selection in goal for San Jose. Jones has nine wins, five losses, and one overtime loss to his credit and has registered a pedestrian 2.79 goals against average and a fairly-weak .898 save percentage this year.

Brent Burns (three goals, 18 assists) will lead the offensive attack for the Sharks.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. San Jose Sharks Betting Predictions

NHL Prediction: SU Winner – Sharks, O/U – Over

Betting Trends

  • For both of these teams, the game went over the total in three of their past five outings.
  • The Maple Leafs are 5-1 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 10-6 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 minutes, total.
  • San Jose has forced 10.0 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 7.7 takeaways per game (ranked 13th overall).
  • Toronto has averaged 8.2 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 9.1 takeaways per game (ranked seventh overall).