Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets – Week 16 ATS Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Football, NFL

The Green Bay Packers and New York Jets are set to collide on the turf at MetLife Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers at New York Jets

New York is the home underdog in this matchup and is currently getting 1 point. The Packers are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Jets are -105. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points, and if one team can catch a lucky break early on, it’ll probably lead to a solid betting opportunity in-game.

The game’s total was initially set at 46, but early action has been slanting toward the under.

The less-than-stellar Packers are 5-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 11.1 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 7-7.

The Jets have lost 6.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-8-1 ATS and nine of their games have gone over the total.

The Packers have gone 5-8-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Jets are 4-10 SU.

The Packers dropped one to Chicago 24-17 in a Week 15 game where Aaron Rodgers completed 25 passes for 274 yards and one interception. Jamaal Williams (55 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Davante Adams (eight receptions, 119 yards) and Williams (four catches, 42 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 15, Houston got the win against this New York team by a score of 29-22. Sam Darnold completed 24-of-38 passes for 253 yards and two touchdowns. Elijah McGuire (42 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Robby Anderson (seven receptions, 96 yards, one TD) and Cannon (three catches, 24 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Green Bay’s run the ball on 35.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 44.3 percent. The Packers have produced 106.7 rush yards per game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Jets are totaling 105.1 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Jets ought to have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has allowed just 31 sacks while their D-line has registered 34 sacks. The Packers offensive line has allowed 46 sacks and their defense has forced only 41 sacks.

The Packers offensive scheme has averaged 287.8 yards through the air overall and has 23 passing scores so far. The Jets have recorded 206.9 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Green Bay has allowed 124.1 rush yards and 247.1 pass yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 261.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 125.9 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Packers have given up an ANY/A of 6.64 to opposing QBs, while the Jets are allowing an ANY/A of 6.22.

Offensively, Rodgers is up to 3,778 passing yards this season, and has connected on 62 percent of his 505 attempts with 21 passing scores and only two interceptions. Rodgers has a 7.03 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.72 over the past two outings.

On the other sideline, Sam Darnold has connected on 183-of-327 passes for 2,187 yards, 13 TDs and 14 INTs. Darnold’s ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.74 for the year and 6.35 over his past two games.

Green Bay Packers at New York Jets Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Packers, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Packers offense has registered 14 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Jets have put up four such plays.
  • The Green Bay defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up nine such plays.
  • The Green Bay offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New York has created 10 such runs.
  • The Packers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jets have given up 21 such runs.
  • The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 41 times this year. New York has recorded just 34 sacks.
  • Green Bay has produced 4.8 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.1 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.8 over its past two.