Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Chargers – Free Week 9 Betting Pick

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The Green Bay Packers (-3) are making a trip west to battle the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center. The opening kickoff for this game is pegged for 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.

Week 9 Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles is the home underdog in this game and is currently receiving 3 points. The Packers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Chargers are +130. If one team gets out in front early it would result in a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.

This game’s opening line was 3.5, while the total has yet to move after it was set initially at 46.

The profitable Packers are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 6.0 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.

The lackluster Chargers have lost 4.4 units this season. The team is 3-4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-6.

The Packers are 7-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Chargers are 3-5 SU.

The Packers just scored a 31-24 victory over Kansas City in Week 8 where their defense let the Chiefs pass for 267 yards and two touchdowns. Tyreek Hill had a productive day for the Chiefs in that one with 76 yards on six catches. On the offensive side, Aaron Rodgers completed 23 passes for 305 yards and three touchdowns. Aaron Jones (67 yards on 13 rush attempts) provided the running attack while Jones (seven receptions, 159 yards, two TDs) and Allen Lazard (five catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Los Angeles just got a 17-16 win over Chicago a week ago. The team’s defensive unit let the Bears rush for 162 yards on 38 attempts, along with one rushing TD. David Montgomery was a bright spot in the loss for Chicago, posting 135 rushing yards and a score on 27 attempts. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 19-of-29 passes for 201 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Melvin Gordon III (31 rushing yards on eight attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Keenan Allen (seven receptions, 53 yards) and Hunter Henry (four catches, 47 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Green Bay has run the ball on 42 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has a rush percentage of 34.3 percent. The Packers have produced 101.6 rush yards/game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bolts are logging 69.5 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

The Packers offensive scheme has tallied 290.5 yards per game in the air overall and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Bolts have produced 290.3 pass yards per outing and have 12 total pass scores.

Defensively, Green Bay has allowed opponents to run for an average of 123.8 yards and throw for 269.4 yards per game. The Los Angeles D has given up 232 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.8 yards per game on the ground. The Packers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.33 to opponents, while the Bolts have allowed a 6.99 ANY/A.

Rivers has managed to complete 178-of-267 passes for 1,986 yards, 10 TDs and seven INTs for Los Angeles. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.43 for the season and 7.77 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Rodgers is up to 1,895 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 160-of-252 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Rodgers has a 7.03 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 11.96 over the past two games.

Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Pick

SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Chargers, O/U: Over

Betting Trends

  • As a team, Green Bay has averaged 4.5 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.3 over its past two.
  • The Los Angeles offense has lost six fumbles this season while Green Bay has lost five.
  • The Packers offense has produced eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Chargers have put up four such plays.
  • The Green Bay defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Los Angeles has given up two such plays.
  • The Green Bay offense has created one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while Los Angeles has created two such runs.
  • The Packers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Chargers have given up six such runs.
  • The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. Los Angeles has recorded 18 sacks.