Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys: Week 5 Free Betting Pick

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The Cowboys (-4) are set to greet the Green Bay Packers in Dallas. Kickoff for this important game is set for 4:25 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys

This Sunday NFC matchup showcases the Packers as the dogs and they’re currently getting 4 points. The Packers are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -160. If one team gets out in front early it’ll result in a solid in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

The game’s over/under was originally placed at 48, but sharp bettors have been siding with the under.

The Packers are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.7 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-2.

The Cowboys have gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and also own an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Packers have gone 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Cowboys are also 3-1 SU.

The Packers fell to Philadelphia 34-27 in a Week 4 game where their defense allowed the Eagles to eat up the clock by running for 176 yards on 33 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Jordan Howard had a productive day for the Eagles in that one with 87 rushing yards and both touchdowns on 15 attempts. On the offense, Aaron Rodgers completed 34 passes for 422 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Aaron Jones (21 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Davante Adams (10 receptions, 180 yards) and Jimmy Graham (six catches, 61 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Dallas narrowly lost a 12-10 game to New Orleans last week. The defense let the Saints run for 117 yards on 27 rush attempts. Michael Thomas had a productive showing in the win, recording 95 yards on nine catches for New Orleans. For Dallas, Dak Prescott completed 22-of-33 passes for 223 yards and one interception. Ezekiel Elliott (35 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack as Elliott (six receptions, 30 yards) and Amari Cooper (five catches, 48 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Green Bay has run the ball on 40.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Dallas has a rush percentage of 48.2 percent. The Packers have run for 86.3 yards per game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Cowboys are averaging 145.5 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Cowboys might hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency, as their running backs has generated 4.9 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.6 to opponents. The Packers have ran for 3.5 yards per carry while allowing 5.0 YPC to opponents.

The Packers offense has tallied 267.3 yards per game in the air overall and has six passing scores so far. The Cowboys have put up 285.8 pass yards per contest and have nine total pass TDs.

Defensively, Green Bay appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 142.3 rush yards and 207.8 pass yards per game. The Dallas D has allowed 241.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.8 yards per game on the ground. The Packers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.50 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys have allowed a 5.43 ANY/A.

Offensively, Rodgers is up to 834 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 74-of-117 attempts with five passing scores and only one interception. He has a 6.61 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.00 over the last two games.

As a group, Davante Adams, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Jamaal Williams have collectively accounted for 468 yards from scrimmage over the last two outings.

Dak Prescott has completed 73-of-95 passes for 897 yards, seven TDs and two INTs for Dallas. His ANY/A sits at 9.57 for the year and 6.01 over his last two games.

We expect the Cowboys to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with WR Amari Cooper (198 receiving yards, two receiving TDs this season), Ezekiel Elliott (199 rush yards, three rush TDs, 49 receiving yards) and Tony Pollard (149 rush yards, one rush TD) have been significant factors in the Dallas offense.

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Packers, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The O/U for Green Bay’s last game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-27 defeat to Philadelphia.
  • Green Bay has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.
  • Dallas has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.2 over its past two.
  • Dallas has lost two fumbles this season while Green Bay has lost three.
  • Over its last three games, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Dallas’ last game was set at 47.5. The under cashed in the team’s 12-10 loss to New Orleans.
  • Over its last three matchups, Dallas is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Cowboys have made nine pass plays of 30+ yards while the Packers have accounted for five such plays.
  • The Green Bay defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Dallas has given up two such plays.
  • The Green Bay offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Dallas has created three such run.
  • The Packers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up one such run.
  • The Green Bay D has sacked opposing QBs 12 times this season. Dallas has recorded 10 sacks.