The Golden State Warriors (33-14), the league’s top scoring team and 9-point favorites, will clash against the Washington Wizards (20-26) at Capital One Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235 points and it can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 24, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards Betting Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Wizards (5.5-point favorites) defeated the Detroit Pistons 101-87, while the Warriors (13.5-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Lakers 130-111. The Washington game went 27 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Golden State game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.
Golden State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.1 (above their season average of 23.1) and a turnover percentage of 8.6 (better than their season average of 12.2). For those same stats, Los Angeles was 15.9 and 12.2, respectively. Washington, on the other hand, dominated every facet of their game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.6 (below their season average of 20.6) and a free throw rate of 0.266 (above their season average of 0.202). Detroit was 4.8 and 0.182, respectively, for those same stats. Trevor Ariza had a good outing for Washington, recording 20 points and 12 rebounds. Klay Thompson, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Golden State with 44 points.
In their first matchup this year, Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 144-122 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 51 points. Golden State covered as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined for 266 points, which was well over the projected point total of 236. Golden State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.0 vs. 15.6). Washington, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 12.7).
Games involving the Warriors tend to finish over the total (55.3 percent). Golden State is 33-14 straight up (SU), but they have difficulty covering the spread (21-25-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Much like Golden State, Wizards games also tend to finish over the O/U total (56.5 percent). Moreover, Washington owns records of 20-26 SU and 19-26-1 ATS.
It could be a tough game for Washington on the offensive glass. The Wizards rank 26th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.4 percent), while Golden State ranks sixth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.4 percent). Furthermore, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency (115.0), while the Wizards rank 25th in defensive efficiency (110.0).
Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.5) while the Wizards rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (32.8).
- Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while Washington ranks 28th (47.8).
- The Wizards rank 10th in points in the paint per game (50.0) while the Warriors rank last (41.3).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.3) while Washington ranks 18th (5.0).
- Golden State ranks 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2) while Washington ranks 28th (14.6).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.1) while the Wizards rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- The Wizards rank fourth in steals per game (9.0) while the Warriors rank 19th (7.4).
- Golden State ranks 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while Washington ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
- Golden State ranks third in fast break points per game (18.9) while Washington ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
- Washington and Golden State are both 6-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
- The Warriors are 33-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Wizards are 20-21.
- Washington is 13-8-1 ATS at home, while Golden State is 11-12 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Wizards’ 22 home games, while 15 of the Warriors’ 23 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Wizards are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 3-1-1.
- In their last five games, Washington has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
- The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.0, up from 6.8 for the season.
