Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction 05/30/19

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The Golden State Warriors, 1-point underdogs, will travel to Scotiabank Arena to clash against the Toronto Raptors in the first game of the NBA Finals. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213 points and it is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 30, 2019.

Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

The Raptors hope to keep it rolling after covering the 1.5-point spread against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last matchup, 100-94. The Warriors, meanwhile, topped the Portland Trail Blazers, 119-117, resulting in a push. The Toronto game finished 20 points under the projected point total of 214, while the Golden State game finished 18 points over the projected point total of 218.

The Warriors, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.9, had a superb mark of 31.9, while the Trail Blazers had a free throw rate of 0.071 (below their season average of 0.211). Meanwhile, Toronto’s 0.568 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 0.480. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.537, while the Bucks’ was below their season average of 0.546. Toronto was lifted by Kawhi Leonard, who finished with 27 points, 17 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Stephen Curry played a huge role in the victory for Golden State, accumulating 37 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists on his way to his zeroth triple-double of the year.

A little over half of the Warriors’ games have finished under the projected point total. Golden State is 69-29 straight up (SU), but they have a hard time covering the spread (42-54-2 against the spread (ATS)).

Contrary to Golden State, games involving the Raptors have finished over the projected point total 51.0 percent of the time. Further, Toronto is 70-30 SU and 48-50-2 ATS.

The Raptors were 3-6-1 with five overs and five unders in the First-Round Series. The Warriors, meanwhile, were 11-6 ATS with 13 overs and four unders

Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced matchup. The sharp-shooting Toronto offense ranks fourth in the NBA in that metric at 0.538, while the stingy Golden State defense is ranked fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.510).

Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank 19th in points in the paint per game (47.0) while the Warriors rank 27th (43.5).
  • Toronto ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while Golden State ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.1).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.3) while the Raptors rank 14th (24.9).
  • Toronto ranks ninth in steals per game (8.2) while Golden State ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.3) while Toronto ranks 10th (5.2).
  • The Raptors rank sixth in fast break points per game (17.9) while the Warriors rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
  • The Warriors rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.8) while the Raptors rank 15th (45.2).
  • Toronto ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Golden State ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 13-0 and Toronto is 24-2.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Warriors are 69-21 and the Raptors are 65-22.
  • Toronto is 25-25-1 ATS at home, while Golden State is 23-25-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 49 road games, the Warriors have 28 overs and 21 unders.
  • The Raptors have 26 overs, 24 unders and 1 push in 51 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Toronto have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Raptors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 3-1-1.
  • The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 6.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (4.3 below their season average).