Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction

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The Detroit Pistons (12-7) welcome the Golden State Warriors (15-8) to Little Caesars Arena. The Pistons are 4.5-point underdogs and will try to continue their five-game home winning streak, while the Warriors look to put an end to their five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.

Golden State Warriors at Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

In their last contest, the Pistons (7.5-point favorites) covered in a 107-88 win over the Chicago Bulls. The Warriors fell to the Toronto Raptors, 131-128, but did cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The Detroit game went 25.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Golden State game finished 36 points over the projected point total of 223.

Detroit played a flawless game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 26.3) and a turnover percentage of 11.6 (better than their season average of 11.8). For those same stats, Chicago was 15.2 and 14.0, respectively. Golden State, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.2 (above their season average of 23.3). Andre Drummond played well for Detroit with 19 points and 20 rebounds. Golden State, meanwhile, was lifted by Kevin Durant, who finished with 51 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.

This series was highly competitive last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last matchup, the Warriors won 102-98. Golden State’s 0.210 free throw rate was their largest strength over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.109. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Of the Warriors’ 23 games, 13 have gone over the total. Golden State is 15-8 straight up (SU), but they are just 10-13 against the spread (ATS).

Pistons games also have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (61.1 percent). Moreover, Detroit is 12-7 SU and 10-8 ATS.

Durant and Klay Thompson have played at a high level over the last five games for Golden State. Durant has averaged 36 points,10.4 rebounds,6.4 assists,2.2 blocks,1.2 steals per game, while Thompson has put up 29 points a game during that span.

This contest should be a showdown of contrasting styles. Detroit prefers to play quickly (ninth in possessions per game), while Golden State likes to grind-it-out (19th in possessions per game).

Warriors at Pistons Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank 5 in steals allowed per game (7.052631578947368) while the Warriors rank 20 (8.08695652173913).
  • Golden State ranks third in blocks per game (6.3) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.9).
  • The Pistons rank fifth in second chance points per game (15.4) while the Warriors rank 25th (12.2).
  • Detroit ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.6) while Golden State ranks 24th (34.1).
  • Golden State ranks 5 in fast break points per game (16.82608695652174) while Detroit ranks 21 (11.052631578947368).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (27.8) while the Pistons rank 26th (21.6).
  • The Pistons rank 3 in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.894736842105264) while the Warriors rank 20 (17.782608695652176).
  • Golden State ranks 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.26086956521739) while Detroit ranks 13 (44.421052631578945).
  • Detroit ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (49.6) while Golden State ranks 29th (40.3).
  • Detroit and Golden State are both 2-0 when they allow under 100 points.
  • The Warriors are 15-4 when they score over 100 points, while the Pistons are 12-5.
  • Golden State is 3-7 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 4-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Pistons’ 10 home games, while 7 of the Warriors’ 10 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pistons are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Detroit has 5 overs, while Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, up from 2.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (3.9 above their season average).