The Golden State Warriors (15-9) head to State Farm Arena to clash with the Atlanta Hawks (5-18). The Warriors are 10.5-point favorites and will attempt to put an end to a six-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 3, 2018.
Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last game. The Hawks (13-point underdogs) were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 124-109, while the Warriors (4-point favorites) fell to the Detroit Pistons, 111-102. The Atlanta game finished 4.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Golden State game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 229.
Golden State did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (18-21; 85.7 percent) while Atlanta had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.4 (above their season average of 21.1). John Collins had a solid outing for Atlanta with 19 points and 11 rebounds. Golden State, meanwhile, received a boost from Kevin Durant, who put up 28 points, seven assists and six rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Durant led the Warriors to a 110-103 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 29 points. Golden State was unable to cover as a 12-point favorite and the two teams combined for 213 points, which was well under the projected point total of 229. One of Golden State’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 20-21 (95.2 percent), while the Hawks were 11-15 (73.3 percent).
Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the total. Golden State is 15-9 straight up (SU), but they are just 10-14 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Hawks’ 23 games, 13 have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Atlanta is 5-18 SU and 9-14 ATS.
The Warriors’ Durant has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 41 points,10.6 rebounds,6.4 assists,2.0 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Collins has averaged 14 points,7.6 rebounds during that same time frame for the Hawks.
This contest should be a showdown of contrasting tempos. Atlanta prefers to play up-tempo (first in possessions per game), while Golden State likes to grind-it-out (19th in possessions per game). Also, the third-ranked offense of the Warriors (offensive efficiency of 113.4) will attempt to take advantage of the 22nd-ranked defense of the Hawks (defensive efficiency of 109.3).
Warriors at Hawks Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hawks average 18.130434782608695 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 8 in the league. The Warriors rank 21 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.958333333333332).
- Golden State averages 27.6 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (27.1).
- The Hawks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.7) while the Warriors rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (34.2).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Atlanta ranks 19th (5.4).
- Atlanta ranks 4 in steals per game (9.043478260869565) while Golden State ranks 20 (7.166666666666667).
- The Warriors average 16.8 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Hawks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
- The Hawks rank 10 in points in the paint per game (49.130434782608695) while the Warriors rank 28 (40.666666666666664).
- Golden State ranks 19 in second chance points allowed per game (13.833333333333334) while Atlanta ranks 27 (16.130434782608695).
- Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Atlanta ranks 27th (48.0).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Atlanta is 0-2 and Golden State is 2-0.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Warriors are 15-5 and the Hawks are 5-12.
- Golden State is 3-8 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 3-7 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Hawks’ 10 home games, while 7 of the Warriors’ 11 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and Atlanta are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Warriors have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Hawks have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (1.5 above their season average).
- The Hawks\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.8, down from 10.7 for the season.
