The Golden State Warriors (17-6), the NBA’s top scoring team, will meet the Miami Heat (11-11) at AmericanAirlines Arena. Golden State opened as a 10.5-point favorite, while the games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 3, 2017, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Sun.
Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat Betting Preview
In the Warriors last game, they had no trouble getting past the Orlando Magic, 133-112. With 23 points, 10 assists and six rebounds, Stephen Curry put together a solid performance for Golden State. Golden State’s 0.693 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Orlando, who had a rate of 0.516. The Warriors mark was above their season average of 0.580.
The Heat will look to keep it rolling after topping the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 105-100. Miami rallied around Josh Richardson, who was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 11-for-14 shooting. The Heat, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.514, had a solid mark of 0.575, while the Hornets had a turnover percentage of 20.0 (above their season average of 11.7).
The offense of Miami will battle against the top-notch defense of Golden State. The Heat rank 26th in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are seventh in defensive efficiency. The Warriors should have the edge on that side of the ball.
Of Golden State’s 23 games, 14 have finished over the projected point total, while 12 of Miami’s 22 games have finished under the O/U total. The Warriors hold a sizable advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 17-6 SU and 10-13 ATS, while the Heat are 11-11 SU and 8-12-2 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 177 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 223.5. The Warriors won 97-80, covering as 15-point favorites. The Warriors played a flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.253 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.0. The Heat had marks of 0.145 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats. Kevin Durant was the games leading scorer with 21 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat Odds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank first in three pointers allowed per game (24.1) while the Warriors rank 19th (29.6).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (8.6) while Miami ranks 13th (4.9).
- Golden State averages 18.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Miami ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).
- Golden State ranks 25th in second chance points per game (10.3) while Miami ranks 27th (9.8).
- On the road, Golden State is 5-7 ATS with 8 overs and 4 unders.
- At home, Miami is 2-6-2 ATS with 5 overs, 4 unders and 1 push.
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Golden State is 4-1 and Miami is 7-3.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Heat are 8-4 and the Warriors are 16-4.
- The Warriors average 45.2 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Heat rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (44.5).
- Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (22.8) while Miami ranks 28th (7.9).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (30.8) while the Heat rank 25th (21.0).
- The Warriors average 45.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Heat rank 14th in points allowed in the paint per game (43.6).
- Golden State averages 8.9 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Miami ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
Bettings Trends:
- Miami is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 push in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Heat’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 2.5 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 123.8 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
