Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Free Prediction 12/19/18

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The Golden State Warriors (21-10) will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to take on the Utah Jazz (14-17). The Jazz opened as 3-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 19, 2018.

Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz ATS Odds

The last time the Warriors played, they defeated the Memphis Grizzlies, 110-93, covering as 13-point favorites. The Jazz, on the other hand, were beaten by the Houston Rockets, 102-97, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 6.5 points under the projected point total of 209.5, while the Utah game finished 14 points under the projected point total of 213.

Golden State played a perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.3 (below their season average of 23.3) and a turnover percentage of 9.4 (better than their season average of 13.2). Memphis was 5.3 and 15.5, respectively, for those same stats. Utah, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 21.7). Rudy Gobert played a key role for Utah with 18 points and 13 rebounds. Golden State was led by Kevin Durant, who finished with 23 points and five assists.

In their first matchup this season, Durant led the Warriors to a 124-123 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 38 points. Golden State was unable to cover as a 2.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 247 points, which was well over the projected point total of 218.5. Golden State’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Utah, who had a mark of 0.556.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 16 overs compared to 15 unders. Golden State heads into the contest with records of 21-10 straight up (SU) and 14-17 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Jazz games have also finished over the total. Further, Utah is 14-17 SU and 14-16-1 ATS.

The physical Utah offense might be getting to the free throw line a lot in this battle. The Jazz rank fourth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.226, while Golden State ranks 16th in FTA rate allowed (0.198).

Warriors at Jazz Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 3 in second chance points allowed per game (11.35483870967742) while the Warriors rank 17 (13.806451612903226).
  • Utah ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (27.3) while Golden State ranks 25th (33.5).
  • The Jazz rank 13th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while the Warriors rank last (39.7).
  • Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (21.4) while Golden State ranks 18th (24.2).
  • Utah ranks 11 in points off turnovers per game (17.774193548387096) while Golden State ranks 26 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.451612903225808).
  • The Warriors rank fifth in fast break points per game (16.6) while the Jazz rank 28th (9.9).
  • The Warriors rank 2 in blocks per game (6.129032258064516) while the Jazz rank 17 (5.129032258064516).
  • Utah is 2 in the league with 42.096774193548384 rebounds allowed per game while Golden State is 4 with 42.645161290322584 rebounds allowed per game.
  • Utah ranks third in steals per game (9.0) while Golden State ranks 20th (7.1).
  • Golden State is 4-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Utah is 6-3.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Warriors are 21-5 and the Jazz are 12-8.
  • Utah is 6-5 ATS at home, while Golden State is 6-9 ATS on the road.
  • The Warriors have 10 overs and 5 unders in 15 road games.
  • Of the Jazz’s 11 home games, they have 8 overs and 3 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Utah have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.4, up from 0.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (5.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (3.7 below their season average).