The Golden State Warriors (2-7), 12-point underdogs, will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 9, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Thunder (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 121-112, while the Warriors (16-point underdogs) fell to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 125-119. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Oklahoma City game finished 21.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5, while the Golden State game went 15.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.
Golden State did a great job of converting from the free throw line (23-24; 95.8 percent) while Oklahoma City did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (18-24; 75.0 percent). Oklahoma City was lifted by Danilo Gallinari, who recorded 27 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, D’Angelo Russell led the way for Golden State, finishing with 52 points, nine rebounds and five assists.
In their first matchup this season, Dennis Schroder led the Thunder to a 120-92 win. He produced 22 points, eight rebounds and six assists. The two teams combined to score 212 points, which was under the projected point total of 224, and Oklahoma City covered as a 2-point favorite. Oklahoma City launched 32 three pointers, making 15 of them (46.9 percent), while Golden State was just 5-33 (15.2 percent).
Of the Warriors’ eight games with betting action, five have gone over the total. Golden State heads into the contest with records of 2-7 straight up (SU) and 2-6 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Golden State, games including the Thunder have typically finished under the O/U total (75.0 percent). Oklahoma City has a phenomenal record ATS (5-3), despite being 3-5 SU.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Oklahoma City in this matchup. The Thunder rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (25.3 percent), while Golden State ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.7 percent) dating back to the 2018-19 season.
Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Thunder rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.6) while the Warriors rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 24th (23.0).
- The Thunder average 9.0 steals per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Warriors rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- Golden State ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Oklahoma City ranks 20th (5.1).
- Oklahoma City ranks 12th in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while Golden State ranks 28th (34.4).
- The Thunder rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.8) while the Warriors rank 28th (43.2).
- The Thunder average 17.4 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
- Golden State averages 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Oklahoma City ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
- Oklahoma City averages 15.1 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the league. Golden State ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Oklahoma City and Golden State are both 13-1.
- When reaching the century mark, the Thunder are 49-29 and the Warriors are 73-29.
