The Oklahoma City Thunder (0-2) will be 1-point underdogs at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they meet the Golden State Warriors (0-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 27, 2019.
Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last outing. The Thunder (8.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Washington Wizards, 97-85, while the Warriors (1.5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 141-122. The Oklahoma City game went 36 points under the projected point total of 218, while the Golden State game went 33.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5.
Golden State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.4 vs. 10.0) while Oklahoma City had a better free throw rate (0.169 vs. 0.082). Oklahoma City was lifted by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who contributed 28 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, D’Angelo Russell played a pivotal role for Golden State with 20 points and eight assists.
Since last season, the Warriors have had records of 57-26 straight up (SU) and 45-56-3 against the spread (ATS). Games including Golden State have finished under the projected point total 51.9 percent of the time since last season.
The Thunder, meanwhile, are 49-35 SU and 37-51-2 ATS since last season. Games involving Oklahoma City have finished under the projected point total 56.7 percent of the time over that same time frame.
Contrasting paces will be on display in this battle. Since last season, Oklahoma City has preferred to play quickly (third in possessions per game), while Golden State has been more half-court-oriented (13th in possessions per game). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Warriors. They rank 22nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.6 percent), while the Thunder have forced the second-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.0 percent).
Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- The Thunder rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while the Warriors rank 27th (34.1).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 24th (23.1).
- The Thunder average 15.2 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Warriors rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
- Oklahoma City averages 9.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 18th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Oklahoma City ranks 17th (5.1).
- The Thunder rank eighth in points in the paint per game (51.0) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.0).
- The Thunder rank sixth in fast break points per game (17.8) while the Warriors rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
- Golden State ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 19th (45.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Golden State ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- Golden State is 13-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 11-1.
- The Thunder are 46-27 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 71-25.
