It will be a contest between two great offenses when the Oklahoma City Thunder (42-27) square off against the Golden State Warriors (46-21) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 16, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds
The last time the Warriors played, they edged the Houston Rockets, 106-104, as 4-point underdogs. The Thunder, on the other hand, were defeated by the Indiana Pacers, 108-106, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 18 points under the projected point total of 228, while the Oklahoma City game finished 3.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.
The Warriors, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.9, had a great mark of 31.6 and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.565 vs. 0.545). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, held Indiana to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.7). Oklahoma City received a boost from Russell Westbrook, who notched his 26th triple-double this year. He took over, racking up 19 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists. DeMarcus Cousins, meanwhile led the way for Golden State, putting up 27 points, eight rebounds and seven assists.
The Thunder won the most recent matchup 123-95 to even the season series at one. Kevin Durant had a double-double in the loss with 27 points and 14 rebounds. Oklahoma City won the rebounding battle. The Thunder had 18 offensive rebounds and 61 total rebounds, while the Warriors had seven and 42, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 218 points, which was under the projected point total of 223.5, and Oklahoma City covered as a 1.5-point favorite.
Games involving the Warriors have gone under the total 50.7 percent of the time. Golden State is 46-21 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (27-39-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Just over half of Thunder games have also finished under the O/U total. Further, Oklahoma City owns records of 42-27 SU and 36-33 ATS.
It will be a matchup of conflicting tempos as the fast-paced Thunder (ranked second in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Warriors (13th in possessions per game). Furthermore, the top-ranked offense of the Warriors (offensive efficiency of 114.5) will clash against the fourth-ranked defense of the Thunder (defensive efficiency of 104.6).
Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors average 46.1 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Thunder rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (52.2) while Golden State ranks 28th (43.1).
- The Thunder rank third in second chance points per game (15.1) while the Warriors rank 22nd (12.7).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast-break points per game (18.4) while Golden State ranks 24th in fast-break points allowed per game (15.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8) while Golden State ranks 27th (33.6).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.1) while the Thunder rank 23rd (23.1).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Thunder rank 18th (5.2).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (9.8) while Golden State ranks 16th (7.6).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (19.7) while Golden State ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
- Oklahoma City is 10-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 6-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Thunder are 38-21 and the Warriors are 46-14.
- Oklahoma City is 17-15 ATS at home, while Golden State is 15-18 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 17 of the Thunder’s 32 home games, while 19 of the Warriors’ 33 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Thunder are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 4 unders and 1 over, while Golden State has 5 unders.
- The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 4.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (7.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average).
