Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Prediction 11/17/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Golden State Warriors (2-11) and the New Orleans Pelicans (3-9) square off at Smoothie King Center. The Warriors will try to put an end to their six-game losing streak. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 17, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.

Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last outing. The Warriors (7-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 105-100, while the Pelicans (4-point favorites) fell to the Miami Heat, 109-94. The Golden State game went 18 points under the projected point total of 223, while the New Orleans game went 30.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5.

Golden State did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (27-34; 79.4 percent) while New Orleans forced Miami into a turnover percentage of 19.5 (above their season average of 15.1). New Orleans’ Nickeil Alexander-Walker had a good outing, putting up 27 points. Draymond Green, meanwhile played a key role for Golden State with 11 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Green led the Warriors to a 134-123 victory. He notched a triple-double with 16 points, 17 rebounds and 10 assists. Golden State covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 257 points, which was well over the projected point total of 236. Golden State’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Warriors had more offensive rebounds (19 vs. 11), defensive rebounds (42 vs. 30) and total rebounds (61 vs. 41).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Warriors are involved, as eight of their 13 games have ended over the total. Golden State holds records of 2-11 straight up (SU) and 5-8 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Golden State, Pelicans games also have a tendency to finish over the total (63.6 percent). Additionally, New Orleans is 3-9 SU and 4-7 ATS.

New Orleans could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their sharp-shooting offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Pelicans currently rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.540), while Golden State ranks 30th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.560). Additionally, the Warriors, who rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.236), will clash against the Pelicans, who rank 23rd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.232).

Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans average 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Warriors rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
  • New Orleans averages 26.4 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Golden State ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (26.8).
  • The Pelicans rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (39.0) while the Warriors rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
  • Golden State ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7) while New Orleans ranks 28th (19.3).
  • New Orleans averages 13.3 second chance points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (16.4).
  • The Pelicans rank 10th in points in the paint per game (49.5) while the Warriors rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.1).
  • The Pelicans rank fifth in steals per game (9.3) while the Warriors rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • New Orleans ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while Golden State ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 0-1.
  • The Pelicans are 3-8 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 2-8.
  • New Orleans is 2-4 ATS at home, while Golden State is 3-3 ATS on the road.
  • In 6 road games, the Warriors have 4 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Pelicans have 4 overs and 2 unders in 6 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders, while New Orleans has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (2.6 below their season average).
  • The Pelicans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 5.3 for the season.