Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 11/19/19

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The Golden State Warriors (2-12) travel to FedExForum to square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (5-8). The Warriors are 6-point underdogs and will try to snap their seven-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 19, 2019.

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last game. The Grizzlies (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 131-114, while the Warriors (3.5-point underdogs) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 108-100. The Memphis game went 30 points over the projected point total of 215, while the Golden State game went 18 points under the projected point total of 226.

Golden State had a better turnover percentage (9.0 vs. 11.7) while Memphis held Denver to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 23.4). Memphis’ Jonas Valanciunas had a good outing, recording 16 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Golden State rallied around Eric Paschall, who had 30 points and seven rebounds.

The Warriors took this series last year, winning three out of four contests. In the most recent contest, Memphis won 132-117. Memphis’ rebounding was their biggest strength. The Grizzlies had 15 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Warriors had nine and 39, respectively. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Oddsmakers tend to set the total low when the Warriors are involved, as eight of their 14 games have ended over the total. Golden State heads into the contest with records of 2-12 straight up (SU) and 5-9 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Golden State, a little over half of Grizzlies games have finished under the O/U total. Further, Memphis is 5-8 SU and 5-8 ATS.

The physical Golden State offense might be getting to the foul line a lot in this matchup. The Warriors rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.234, while Memphis ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.231).

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 16th in rebounds per game (45.8) while the Warriors rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
  • Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (53.8) while Golden State ranks 26th (43.7).
  • The Warriors rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while the Grizzlies rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.8).
  • Memphis averages 13.3 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Golden State ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (16.4).
  • Golden State ranks 18th in three pointers attempted per game (30.6) while Memphis ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (35.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in assists per game (26.9) while the Warriors rank 26th in assists allowed per game (26.6).
  • The Warriors rank 12th in fast break points per game (13.9) while the Grizzlies rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (16.6).
  • Golden State averages 7.7 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Memphis ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Memphis ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.6) while Golden State ranks 26th (3.8).
  • Golden State is 0-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
  • The Grizzlies are 5-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 2-9.
  • Memphis is 3-5 ATS at home, while Golden State is 3-4 ATS on the road.
  • The Warriors have 4 overs and 3 unders in 7 road games.
  • The Grizzlies have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (4.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.2 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 10.2 for the season.