Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction 11/13/19

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The Golden State Warriors (2-9) will be at the Staples Center to go head-to-head with the Los Angeles Lakers (8-2) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game will air on ESPN at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 13, 2019.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

The last time the Lakers played, they beat the Phoenix Suns, 123-115, as 10.5-point underdogs. The Warriors, meanwhile, were topped by the Utah Jazz, 122-108, and were not able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 27.5 points over the projected point total of 210.5, while the Golden State game went 19 points over the projected point total of 211.

Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.5 (below their season average of 21.7) and a turnover percentage of 7.9 (better than their season average of 13.0). Phoenix had marks of 14.3 and 10.0, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, meanwhile, held Utah to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below the 26.4 mark opponents have averaged against Golden State this season). Los Angeles was led by Anthony Davis, who recorded 24 points and 12 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Golden State with 33 points and eight assists.

The Warriors captured this series last year, winning three out of four contests. In the last game, Golden State won 108-90. Golden State’s 0.531 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 0.394. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Vegas is known to place the total low when the Warriors are involved, as 72.7 percent of their contests have gone over the projected point total. Golden State heads into the contest with records of 2-9 straight up (SU) and 4-7 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Golden State, Lakers games have typically finished under the O/U total (55.6 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles owns records of 8-2 SU and 6-3 ATS.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Los Angeles should have a noteworthy advantage. The Lakers defense ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.483), while the Golden State offense is ranked 26th in effective field goal percentage (0.495).

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Los Angeles ranks third in assists per game (26.5) while Golden State ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.7).
  • The Warriors rank 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while the Lakers rank 25th (18.0).
  • Los Angeles averages 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (15.8).
  • Los Angeles averages 46.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).
  • The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (7.5) while the Warriors rank 24th (3.5).
  • The Lakers average 18.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Warriors rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
  • Los Angeles averages 54.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.9).
  • Los Angeles is 4-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 0-1.
  • The Warriors are 2-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Lakers are 6-2.
  • Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS at home, while Golden State is 3-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Warriors’ 5 road games, while 3 of the Lakers’ 5 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Los Angeles are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Warriors have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Lakers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 9.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (1.6 above their season average).