The Golden State Warriors (2-1), 8.5-point favorites, will travel to Staples Center to meet the Los Angeles Clippers (1-2) in game four of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235 points and it starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 21, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Odds
In game three, Durant led the Warriors to a 132-105 win. He scored a game-high 38 points. Golden State covered as a 9-point favorite and the two teams combined for 237 points, which was just over the projected point total of 235. Golden State’s 0.629 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 0.410.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Warriors games, with 45 unders compared to 40 overs. Golden State has a respectable 59-26 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (37-47-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Of the Clippers’ 85 games, 47 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Los Angeles is 49-36 SU and 46-38-1 ATS.
The physical Los Angeles offense could be getting to the foul line a lot in this battle. The Clippers currently rank first in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.258, while Golden State ranks 23rd in FTA rate allowed (0.207). Moreover, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency (114.7), while the Clippers rank 21st in defensive efficiency (109.9).
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors average 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Clippers rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Los Angeles ranks last (6.2).
- The Warriors rank third in fast break points per game (19.2) while the Clippers rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Los Angeles ranks 18th (24.1).
- Golden State ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
- The Clippers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (51.1) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.2).
- The Warriors rank 14th in steals per game (7.6) while the Clippers rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- Los Angeles ranks 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Golden State ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Golden State ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.3) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (26.0).
- Golden State is 10-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Los Angeles is 7-1.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Warriors are 59-18 and the Clippers are 49-27.
- Golden State is 20-22 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 22-20 ATS at home.
- The Warriors have 23 overs and 19 unders in 42 road games.
- In 42 home games, the Clippers have 28 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Golden State and Los Angeles have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 1-4.
- The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 6.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 118.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 130.4 points per game (15.6 above their season average).
