The Golden State Warriors (35-14), the NBA’s top scoring team and 9.5-point favorites, will square off against the Indiana Pacers (32-16) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, January 28, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Odds
The Warriors will be looking for a similar result after covering the 3-point spread against the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 115-111. The Pacers, on the other hand, were beaten by the Memphis Grizzlies, 106-103, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The Golden State game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 232, while the Indiana game finished 6.5 points over the projected point total of 202.5.
The Warriors made 29 of their 34 free throws (85.3 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.518 vs. 0.490). Indiana, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (30-36; 83.3 percent). Darren Collison had a good game for Indiana, finishing with 18 points and nine assists. Kevin Durant, meanwhile fueled Golden State with 33 points and nine rebounds.
The Pacers dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last matchup, Indiana won 126-106. The Pacers’ 10.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Warriors, who had a mark of 14.6. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Warriors’ 49 games, 27 have finished over the total. Golden State has a superb 35-14 straight up (SU) record, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (22-26-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Contrary to Golden State, games featuring the Pacers have a tendency to go under the projected point total (56.3 percent). Additionally, Indiana owns records of 32-16 SU and 24-23-1 ATS.
Second-chance points might be hard to find for Indiana in this contest. The Pacers rank 20th in offensive rebounding percentage (22.5 percent), while Golden State ranks seventh in defensive rebounding percentage (78.3 percent). Also, the Warriors’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 115.1) will clash against the Pacers’ second-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 103.2).
Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers are second in the league with 42.7 rebounds allowed per game while the Warriors are fifth with 43.3 rebounds allowed per game.
- Indiana ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (49.6) while Golden State ranks last (41.8).
- The Warriors rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (33.2) while the Pacers rank 28th (25.1).
- Indiana ranks ninth in fast-break points per game (15.3) while Golden State ranks 27th in fast-break points allowed per game (15.1).
- Golden State averages 29.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. Indiana ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while the Pacers rank 20th (5.3).
- The Pacers average 19.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Warriors rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
- Indiana ranks second in steals per game (9.0) while Golden State ranks 20th (7.4).
- When allowing below 100 points, Golden State is 6-0 and Indiana is 16-3.
- The Pacers are 29-8 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 35-9.
- Indiana is 13-11 ATS at home, while Golden State is 12-13 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 16 of the Warriors’ 25 road games, while 18 of the Pacers’ 24 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 126.0 points per game (7.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.8 points per game (2.8 above their season average).
- The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 5.6 for the season.
