Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets ATS Prediction 05/10/19

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The Golden State Warriors (3-2) will look to advance to the Western Conference Finals when they travel to Toyota Center to meet the Houston Rockets (2-3) in game six of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Warriors opened as 7-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 212.5 points and it will air on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, May 10, 2019.

Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds

In game five, Thompson led the Warriors to a 104-99 win. He recorded 27 points. The two teams combined for 203 points, which was well under the projected point total of 221, and Golden State was unable to cover as a 6-point favorite. The Warriors’ 27.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Rockets, who had a rate of 21.1.

Games involving the Warriors have gone under the total 51.6 percent of the time. Golden State is 64-29 straight up (SU), but they are just 39-53-1 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Rockets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Moreover, Houston is 59-33 SU and 47-42-3 ATS.

The Warriors are 11-6 ATS with 13 overs and four unders in the playoffs. The Rockets, meanwhile, are 6-5 with six overs and five unders

This contest figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NBA’s premier offenses go head-to-head. Houston currently ranks second with 112.8 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is first (114.6).

Warriors vs. Rockets Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.9) while the Rockets rank 28th (42.2).
  • Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.3) while Houston ranks 28th (20.9).
  • The Rockets average 17.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Warriors rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
  • Houston ranks fourth in steals per game (8.5) while Golden State ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Golden State ranks third in fast break points per game (18.9) while Houston ranks 19th (12.0).
  • The Rockets average 45.1 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the league. The Warriors rank 27th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
  • The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.3) while the Rockets rank 17th (5.0).
  • Houston ranks 17th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Golden State ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Golden State ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.6) while Houston ranks 25th (51.1).
  • Houston is 18-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 11-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 64-21 and the Rockets are 56-22.
  • Houston is 27-17-2 ATS at home, while Golden State is 21-25 ATS on the road.
  • The Warriors have 26 overs and 20 unders in 46 road games.
  • In 46 home games, the Rockets have 24 overs, 19 unders and 3 pushes.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Houston have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Rockets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
  • The Rockets have been outscored by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Houston has defeated opponents by an average of 4.7 points.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (7.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (2.1 below their season average).