Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators: 11/2/2019 Betting Pick

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The No. 6 Gators (+4.5) are gearing up to host their conference rival No. 8 Georgia Bulldogs (-4.5) in Gainesville. Interested parties can catch the action live on CBS and this key daytime matchup is scheduled to get going at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

In this Saturday Southeastern game, Georgia is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to wager $200 to net $100 back on the Bulldogs (-200). The Gators are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47.5 points, and some decent live betting scenarios should exist throughout this matchup.

Sharp bettors are siding with the Bulldogs, as the opening line was 3.5. The game’s total has yet to change after being set initially at 47.5.

The Bulldogs have recorded 1.0 unit so far and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 2-5.

The surprising Gators are up 4.2 units this season. The team is 3-2-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-4.

The Bulldogs have gone 6-1 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Gators are 7-1 SU overall and 4-1 SU in conference play.

The Dawgs are coming off a resounding 21-0 victory over Kentucky on October 19. Jake Fromm completed nine passes on 12 attempts for only 35 yards. D’Andre Swift (179 rushing yards on 21 attempts, two TDs) and Brian Herrien (60 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while George Pickens (four receptions, 35 yards) and James Cook (two catches, three yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Florida just earned a 38-27 win over South Carolina. Kyle Trask completed 21-of-33 passes for 200 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Lamical Perine (68 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Dameon Pierce (87 yards on seven carries, one TD) mounted the running game while Freddie Swain (five receptions, 20 yards, one TD) and Kyle Pitts (five catches, 29 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Georgia has run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida has a rush percentage of 49.4 percent. The Bulldogs have produced 236.9 rush yards/game (including 242.3 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Gators are averaging 142.4 rush yards per game (139.6 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.

Based on the results this season, it seems like the Bulldogs could own the advantage in terms of RB efficiency, as their running backs has generated 6.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.0 YPC to opponents. The Gators have rushed for 4.3 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 3.8 to opponents.

The Dawgs offense has tallied 234.4 yards/game through the air overall (193.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Gators have produced 277.3 pass yards per outing (278 in the SEC) and have 21 total pass scores.

Defensively, Georgia has allowed 85.7 rush yards and 181 pass yards per game. The Florida defense has given up 195.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Dawgs have given up an ANY/A of 4.17 to opposing QBs, while the Gators are yielding an ANY/A of 3.79.

Passing-wise, Fromm is up to 1,111 yards this year, and has completed 77 percent of his 123 attempts with eight scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 10.18 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.09 over the past two outings.

Kyle Trask has managed to complete 91-of-130 passes for 1,081 yards, 11 TDs and three INTs for Florida. His ANY/A sits at 7.76 for the season and 6.96 across his past two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Georgia emerged victorious by a final score of 36-17.

Georgia Bulldogs at Florida Gators Free Prediction

SU Winner: Florida, ATS Winner: Florida, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Bulldogs offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gators have put up five such plays.
  • The Georgia defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Florida has given up four such plays.
  • The Georgia offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Florida has created eight such runs.
  • The Bulldogs defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Gators have given up 12 such runs.
  • The Florida D has recorded 29 sacks on the year while Georgia has just 16.
  • As a team, Georgia has rushed for 5.1 yards per attempt across its past three outings and 4.7 over its last two.
  • Florida has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Over its last three matchups, Florida is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Georgia’s previous game going into it was 45. The under cashed in the team’s 21-0 victory over Kentucky.
  • Over its last three contests, Georgia is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Florida’s last game was 45. The over cashed in the 38-27 victory over South Carolina.