The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (+25.5) will meet their SEC rival Tennessee Volunteers at Neyland Stadium. The matchup will start at 7:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can catch the action live on ESPN.
Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 25.5 points to Tennessee. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52 points. If one school can create a bunch of points early, it will likely create a nice betting opportunity in-game.
With the spread opening at 24.5 and the over/under set initially at 51.5, this matchup’s betting odds have shifted a little.
The Bulldogs have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2019 and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-3.
The Volunteers have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 2.8 units. They’re 1-3 ATS and own an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Bulldogs are 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Volunteers are 1-3 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play.
The Bulldogs are looking to stay undefeated after a 23-17 victory over Notre Dame on September 21 where Jake Fromm completed 20-of-26 passes for just 187 yards and one touchdown. D’Andre Swift (98 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win while Lawrence Cager (five receptions, 82 yards, one TD) and Demetris Robertson (four catches, 48 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Tennessee just lost convincingly 34-3 to Florida back in Week 4. The defense allowed the Gators to pass for 313 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 128 yards and two scores. Freddie Swain had a productive outing, recording 67 yards on three catches for Florida. As a group, the Vols collectively completed 14-of-28 passes for 151 yards and three interceptions. Jarrett Guarantano went 10-for-17 for 107 yards and two interceptions while Brian Maurer was four-of-11 for 44 yards and one interception. Ty Chandler (34 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Jauan Jennings (seven receptions, 73 yards) and Josh Palmer (two catches, 24 yards) led the receiving corps.
Each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Georgia’s run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 55.8. Having said that, the Bulldogs have run for 253 yards/game and have 12 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Vols haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re putting up 154.5 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.
Judging by the early season results, it seems like the Bulldogs may hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 6.9 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 2.3 to opponents. The Volunteers have registered 4.3 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 3.7 to opponents.
The Dawgs offense has averaged 255.8 yards in the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Vols have put up 200.8 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass scores.
Georgia has let opponents rush for an average of 57 yards and pass for 205.5 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 190 yards per game to opposing passers and 149.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.68 to opposing QBs, while the Vols have given up a 4.48 ANY/A.
Fromm likely has the edge over Guarantano in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.18for the year (and 11.38 over the last two games). Guarantano’s ANY/A is 4.87 for the year and 7.96 over his past two outings.
These two schools faced off last year with the final result being a 38-12 win for Georgia.
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Free Pick
SU Winner: Tennessee, ATS Winner: Tennessee, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The O/U for Georgia’s last game was set at 58. The under cashed in the team’s 23-17 victory over Notre Dame.
- As a team, Georgia has produced 6.5 yards per carry over its past three outings and 6.4 over its last two.
- Tennessee has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 4.4 over its past two.
- Both teams have lost three fumbles this year.
- In its last three contests, Georgia is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Tennessee’s last outing going into it was 48.5. The under cashed in that 34-3 loss to Florida.
- Over its last three games, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Bulldogs offense has produced three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Volunteers have accounted for two such plays.
- The Georgia defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up two such plays.
- The Georgia offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created three such runs.
- Both defenses have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bulldogs have given up eight running plays of 10+ yards while the Volunteers have given up 19 such plays.
- The Georgia defensive unit has 12 sacks on the year while Tennessee has eight.
