Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers – NCAA Football Betting Preview

Daniel GimenezCollege Football, Football

In a matchup that features two schools ranked in the Top 12 nationally, the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (+1) are set to pay a visit to their conference counterpart No. 12 West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. The game is scheduled to get going at 8:00 p.m. ET and ESPN has the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers

In this Friday Big 12 game, West Virginia is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Sooners are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Mountaineers are -115. This Big 12 matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at a seriously-high 81 points.

The game’s O/U was initially placed at 80, but the early action has swayed toward the over.

The Sooners have recorded 1.0 unit so far and are 4-7 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 9-2.

The Mountaineers have gained 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-3 ATS and the over has hit in six of their games.

The Sooners have gone 10-1 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against conference opponents. The Mountaineers are 8-2 SU overall and are also 6-2 SU in conference play.

The Sooners are trying to keep things going following a solid 55-40 victory over Kansas last week. Kyler Murray completed 21 passes for 272 yards, two scores and one interception. Kennedy Brooks (171 rushing yards on 25 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Murray (99 yards on eight carries, three TDs) led the running attack. Marquise Brown (six receptions, 65 yards) and CeeDee Lamb (five catches, 52 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

One week ago, Oklahoma State took care of this West Virginia crew by a score of 45-41. Will Grier completed 27-of-48 passes for 364 yards and two touchdowns. Kennedy McKoy (148 yards on 21 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the running attack as Gary Jennings Jr. (seven receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Marcus Simms (seven catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Oklahoma has run the ball on 57.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while West Virginia has a rush percentage of 49.3 percent. The Sooners have run for 260.7 yards per game (including 272.9 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 36 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Mountaineers are logging 162.0 rush yards per game (151.6 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.

The Sooners offensive scheme has logged 315.4 yards per game in the air overall (333.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has 35 passing scores so far. The Mountaineers have recorded 340.0 pass yards per contest (329 in the Big 12) and have 34 total pass TDs.

Oklahoma has let opponents run for an average of 162.2 yards and throw for 263.6 yards per game. The West Virginia defense has allowed 243.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 135.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Mountaineers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.93 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have given up a 7.32 ANY/A.

Offensively, Murray is up to 2,961 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 175-of-250 attempts with 33 scores through the air and only six interceptions. He’s got a pristine 12.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.46 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Oklahoma in this one. Kennedy Brooks (646 rushing yards, eight rush TDs this season), Marquise Brown (879 receiving yards, seven receiving TDs) and Kyler Murray (673 rush yards, 10 rush TDs, 0 receiving yards) have each played big roles lately.

On the other sideline, Will Grier has completed 209-of-309 passes for 2,982 yards, 30 TDs and seven INTs. Grier’s ANY/A stands at 9.46 for the year and 8.44 over his last two games.

Kennedy McKoy (608 rushing yards, four rush TDs, 173 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown on the year), Gary Jennings Jr. (634 receiving yards, 10 receiving TDs) and David Sills V (694 receiving yards, 12 receiving TDs) have combined to account for 555 total yards and eight touchdowns over the past two games.

These two schools met last year with the final outcome being a 59-31 win for Oklahoma.

Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Oklahoma, ATS Winner: Oklahoma, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Sooners offense has registered 18 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Mountaineers have accounted for 13 such plays.
  • The Oklahoma defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while West Virginia has given up five such plays.
  • The Oklahoma offense has created 31 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while West Virginia has created 14 such runs.
  • The Sooners defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Mountaineers have given up 11 such runs.
  • The West Virginia defensive unit has recorded 23 sacks on the year while Oklahoma has 22.
  • Oklahoma, as a team, has rushed for 7.4 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 7.4 over its last two.
  • West Virginia has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.3 over its past two.
  • In its last three matches, West Virginia is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for Oklahoma’s last game going into it was 68. The over cashed in the team’s 55-40 victory over Kansas.
  • In its last three games, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for West Virginia’s last matchup was set at 73. The over cashed in the 45-41 defeat to Oklahoma State.