NCAA Football Free Pick: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Alabama Jaguars

Daniel GimenezCollege Football, Football

A couple of teams that prefer to keep the ball on the ground, Coach Joe Moglia and the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-2) are taking on their SBC foe South Alabama Jaguars at Ladd-Peebles Stadium. ESPN+ will broadcast the action and this Friday game is scheduled to kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

South Alabama enters this SBC game as the underdog and is currently getting 2 points. The Chanticleers are also receiving -130 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +110. This SBC matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 58.5 points.

This game’s opening line was 1.5. The O/U hasn’t moved since it opened at 58.5.

The Chanticleers are 5-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.6 units so far. The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 5-5.

The Jaguars have lost 5.0 units this season. The team is 4-6-1 ATS and the over has hit in eight of its games.

The Chanticleers have gone 5-6 straight up (SU), including 2-5 SU against SBC opponents. The Jaguars are 2-9 SU overall and are also 1-6 SU in conference play.

The Chanticleers fell to Georgia Southern 41-17 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Eagles to rush for 409 yards on 54 attempts, including five rush TDs. On the offense, the Chanticleers completed 12-of-24 passes for 115 yards and two touchdowns. Fred Payton went eight-for-14 for 89 yards and one touchdown while Kilton Anderson completed four-of-10 for 26 yards and one touchdown. Torrance Marable (45 yards on 12 rushes) and Alex James (37 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack while Isaiah Likely (four receptions, 13 yards, two TDs) and Marable (three catches, 16 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

A week ago, Louisiana got the win against this South Alabama team by a score of 48-38. Cole Garvin completed 18-of-28 passes for 254 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Tra Minter (87 yards on 23 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Garvin (50 yards on 12 carries) led the running game while Jamarius Way (six receptions, 67 yards, one TD) and Kawaan Baker (four catches, 80 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Coastal Carolina’s run the ball on 67.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Alabama has an overall rush percentage of 59.0 percent. The Chanticleers have produced 208.4 rush yards/game (including 179.7 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 19 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jags are averaging 135.7 rushing yards per game (129.4 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.

The Chanticleers offensive scheme has averaged 170.5 yards in the air overall (162.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Jags have put up 203.4 pass yards per outing (206 in the SBC) and have 16 total pass scores.

Coastal Carolina appears to possess an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 236.5 yards and pass for 206.8 yards per game. The South Alabama defense has allowed 241.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 213.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Chanticleers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.73 to opponents, while the Jags have given up an 8.36 ANY/A.

Offensively, Payton has amassed 531 passing yards this year, and has completed 38-of-57 attempts with four scores through the air and two interceptions. Payton has a 7.61 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.91 over the last two games.

The Chanticleers have tried to control the clock by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Jeremiah Miller (193 yards), Torrance Marable (620 rush yards, six rush TDs, 118 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Jacqez Hairston (77 rush yards) have really been focal points in the Coastal Carolina offensive scheme.

For the home team, Cole Garvin has completed 28-of-50 passes for 318 yards, three TDs and three INTs. Garvin’s ANY/A sits at a mediocre 4.04 for the year and 6.56 across his last two games.

The Jags also like to keep their running backs featured. In addition to Tra Minter (148 receiving yards), Kawaan Baker (235 rush yards, eight rush TDs, 457 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) and Jamarius Way (one rush yards, 691 receiving yards, five TDs) have seen quite a few touches recently.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to play one another a year ago.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. South Alabama Jaguars NCAA Pick

SU Winner: South Alabama, ATS Winner: South Alabama, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Chanticleers offense has tallied five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jaguars have put up seven such plays.
  • The Coastal Carolina defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while South Alabama has given up 13 such plays.
  • The Coastal Carolina offense has created 25 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while South Alabama has created six such runs.
  • The Chanticleers defense has allowed 35 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jaguars have given up 23 such runs.
  • The Coastal Carolina defensive unit has 19 sacks on the year while South Alabama has 16.
  • Coastal Carolina, as a team, has averaged 2.9 yards per carry across its last three contests and 2.9 over its last two.
  • South Alabama has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its last two.
  • South Alabama has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a 38-point win over Alabama State on October 13th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.