In the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, the Auburn Tigers (-4) are favorites against the Purdue Boilermakers. This afternoon game gets underway at 1:30 p.m. ET and ESPN is scheduled to televise the action.
Betting Preview: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Auburn Tigers
In this Friday matchup, Auburn has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 4 points. The Boilermakers are also receiving +165 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -185. If one program can create a bunch of points early it would result in a nice in-game betting scenario. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points.
The Boilermakers are 6-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 8.6 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-6.
The disappointing Tigers have lost 13.0 units this season. They’re 5-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-8.
The Boilermakers are 6-6 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Tigers are 7-5 SU.
The Boilermakers are coming off a 28-21 win over Indiana on November 24 where David Blough completed 27 passes on 35 attempts for 310 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Markell Jones (95 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) and D.J. Knox (42 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack while Rondale Moore (12 receptions, 141 yards, two TDs) and Isaac Zico (five catches, 64 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Back on November 24, Alabama knocked off this Auburn team by a score of 52-21. The Tigers defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 377 yards and six touchdowns while rushing for 123 yards. Josh Jacobs put up a solid showing, recording 53 yards on four catches for Alabama. For Auburn, Jarrett Stidham completed 13-of-30 passes for 127 yards, one touchdown and one interception. JaTarvious Whitlow (61 yards on 19 rush attempts) and Shaun Shivers (27 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game as Ryan Davis (four receptions, 15 yards) and Anthony Schwartz (three catches, 10 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Purdue has run the ball on 44.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Auburn has an overall rush percentage of 56.2 percent. The Boilermakers have rushed for 141.2 yards/game and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are putting up 164.1 rushing yards per game and have 22 total rush TDs.
If 2018 results are any indication, then it seems like the Tigers ought to have the advantage when it comes to applying pressure, since their offensive line has given up just 23 sacks while the D-line has logged 35 sacks. The Boilermakers O-line has given up 27 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss on just 25 occasions.
The Boilermakers offensive scheme has averaged 317.8 yards in the air overall and has 28 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have produced 209.5 pass yards per outing and have 16 total pass scores.
Purdue has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 164.6 yards and throw for 276.9 yards per game. The Auburn D has allowed 222.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.7 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.29 to opponents, while the Boilermakers have allowed a 6.21 ANY/A.
Blough has been more productive than Stidham recently, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.69for the season and 8.14 over the last two games. Stidham’s ANY/A is 5.90 for the year and 5.69 across his last two outings.
Purdue Boilermakers at Auburn Tigers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Auburn, ATS Winner: Auburn, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Auburn defense has produced 35 sacks on the year while Purdue has just 25.
- The Auburn offense has lost eight fumbles this season while Purdue has let six get away.
- The Boilermakers offense has registered 17 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Tigers have accounted for 10 such plays.
- The Purdue defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Auburn has given up 10 such plays.
- The Purdue offense has created 17 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Auburn has created seven such runs.
- The Boilermakers defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Tigers have given up 13 such runs.
- Purdue has produced 3.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
- Auburn has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its past two.
