Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free ATS Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Arkansas Razorbacks and No. 9 Auburn Tigers are set to do battle on the grass at Jordan-Hare Stadium. SEC Network is scheduled to broadcast the action and the game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers

Arkansas is a big road underdog here and is currently getting 29 points from bookmakers. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 57 points. It appears that there might be multiple good live betting opportunities while the game’s underway.

The game’s opening line was -24. The over/under has not moved after being set initially at 57.

The disappointing Razorbacks are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 9.6 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2.

The Tigers have lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Razorbacks have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Tigers are 2-1 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play.

The Razorbacks fell to North Texas 44-17 in a thumping where the passing game left much to be desired as the Razorbacks completed 20-of-45 passes for 210 yards and six interceptions. Cole Kelley went 16-for-35 for 185 yards and four interceptions while Connor Noland completed four-of-seven for 25 yards and one interception. Devwah Whaley (only 12 rushing yards on nine attempts) provided the running attack while Michael Woods (four receptions, 61 yards) and La’Michael Pettway (four catches, 49 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Auburn narrowly suffered a 22-21 defeat to LSU. The defense allowed the Tigers to rush for 121 yards on 42 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Justin Jefferson had a productive outing in the win, recording 97 yards on five catches for LSU. For Auburn, Jarrett Stidham completed 16-of-28 passes for 198 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. JaTarvious Whitlow (104 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Ryan Davis (three receptions, 23 yards) and Darius Slayton (three catches, 33 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Arkansas has run the ball on 56.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Auburn has a rush percentage of 64.5 percent. The Razorbacks have rushed for 168.3 yards per game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 235.3 rush yards per game and have nine total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Tigers may have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 2.5 to opponents. The Razorbacks have ran for 4.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 2.8 to opponents.

The Razorbacks offensive scheme has logged 233.7 yards per game through the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Tigers have produced 203.0 pass yards per contest and have three total pass scores.

Defensively, Arkansas has allowed 87.3 rush yards and 300.0 pass yards per game. The Auburn defense has allowed 234.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.0 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.87 to opposing QBs, while the Razorbacks have allowed a 6.66 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Kelley is up to 277 yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 25-of-47 attempts with one scores through the air and four interceptions. He’s got a 2.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.00 over the last two games.

Jarrett Stidham has completed 42-of-64 passes for 471 yards, two TDs and two INTs for Auburn. His ANY/A stands at 5.91 for the year and 6.33 over his past two games.

When these two programs faced each other a year ago, Auburn won easily 52-20.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers Free Prediction

SU Winner: Auburn, ATS Winner: Arkansas, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Razorbacks offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have put up one such play.
  • The Arkansas defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Auburn has given up three such plays.
  • The Arkansas offense has created two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Auburn has created three such runs.
  • The Razorbacks defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up three such runs.
  • The Auburn defense has registered double the sack total of Arkansas this season (10 to five).
  • As a team, Arkansas has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • Auburn has averaged 5.8 yards per carry over its last two.
  • Over its last three games, Auburn is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Arkansas was favored by 5 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 63. The under cashed and Arkansas failed to cover in the 44-17 defeat to North Texas.
  • Auburn was favored by 10 points in its previous match and the O/U going into it was 46. The under cashed and Auburn did not cover in the 22-21 defeat to LSU.