The second-ranked Virginia Cavaliers (29-2, 17-2 ACC) will be in the Atlantic Coast Conference Tourney at Spectrum Center when they meet the 12th-ranked Florida State Seminoles (26-6, 14-5 ACC). Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 15, 2019, and can be seen on ESPN.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last contest. The Cavaliers (12-point favorites) defeated the 23rd-ranked North Carolina State Wolfpack 76-56, while the Seminoles (11.5-point underdog) beat the 16th-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies 65-63. The Virginia game went 7 points over the projected point total of 125, while the Florida State game finished 14 points under the projected point total of 142.
Florida State played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.4 (below their season average of 33.1) and a free throw rate of 0.158 (below their season average of 0.274). Virginia Tech had marks of 15.8 and 0.119, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Virginia’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over North Carolina State. The Cavaliers had a rate of 0.625 (above their season average of 0.558), while the Wolfpack posted a mark of 0.418 (below their season average of 0.524). Kyle Guy led the way for Virginia, contributing 29 points. Meanwhile, Florida State was lifted by Terance Mann, who put up 10 points and nine rebounds.
Just over half of the Seminoles’ games have finished under the total. Florida State heads into the contest with records of 26-6 straight up (SU) and 14-17 against the spread (ATS).
Cavaliers games also have gone under the projected point total 53.3 percent of the time. Moreover, Virginia owns records of 29-2 SU and 22-8 ATS.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Virginia (fourth in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 118.6) takes on the top-notch defense of Florida State (43rd in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 96.6). Moreover, the Seminoles rank 58th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.271), while the Cavaliers rank 23rd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.180).
Florida State vs. Virginia ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Virginia, ATS Winner – Florida State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Florida State ranks 147th in three pointers attempted per game (22.6) while Virginia ranks 225th (20.6).
- The Cavaliers rank 32nd in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Seminoles rank 44th (5.4).
- Virginia leads the NCAA with 8.7 assists allowed per game while Florida State is 11th with 10.1 assists allowed per game.
- The Cavaliers rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (29.6) while the Seminoles rank 67th (32.9).
- Florida State ranks 44th in blocks per game (4.3) while Virginia ranks 75th (3.9).
Bettings Trends:
- The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Seminoles are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Virginia has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Florida State has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 76.4 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 55.4 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
- The Seminoles’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 8.3 for the season.
