The Florida State Seminoles (+18) aren’t traveling far to take on the No. 8 Florida Gators at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. SEC Network is scheduled to televise the action and the game kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
In this Saturday game, Florida is getting picked as the big favorite and is currently giving up 18 points. The Seminoles are also receiving +800 moneyline odds while the Gators are -1450. If one squad gets out in front early on it would create a worthy betting scenario in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points.
The opening line was -17 while the O/U hasn’t moved since it opened at 53.5.
The Seminoles are 4-6-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.6 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.
The Gators have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.2 units. They’re 5-3-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-6.
The Seminoles are 6-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Gators are 9-2 SU.
When these two teams met a year ago, Florida knocked off Florida State soundly 41-14.
Each team enters the matchup on a two-game unbeaten streak. The Seminoles are coming off a resounding 49-12 win over Alabama State on November 16 where their secondary allowed the Hornets to throw for 270 yards. Jahod Booker had a productive day for the Hornets in that one with 84 yards and a score on six catches. Offensively, the Seminoles completed 16-of-29 passes for 317 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. James Blackman went 13-for-22 for 246 yards, three touchdowns and one interception while Jordan Travis completed three-of-seven for 71 yards. Khalan Laborn (55 yards on 12 rush attempts, two TDs) led the running attack while Tamorrion Terry (four receptions, 90 yards, one TD) and Tre’Shaun Harrison (three catches, 94 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Florida just earned a 23-6 win over Missouri two weeks ago. The team’s defense held its territory in the victory, keeping the Tigers to only 204 passing yards and 52 yards on the ground. Jonathan Nance was a bright spot in the defeat for Missouri, accounting for 58 yards on four catches. For Florida, Kyle Trask completed 23-of-35 passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns. Trask (-17 yards on six rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Van Jefferson (six receptions, 82 yards) and Pitts (four catches, 38 yards) led the Florida pass-catchers in the win.
Florida State has run the ball on 51.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida has a rush percentage of 47.1 percent. The Seminoles have run for 139.6 yards/game and have 21 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Gators are averaging 124.2 rush yards per game and have 17 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Gators may own the edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game, as their running backs has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.3 to opponents. The Seminoles have rushed for 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents.
The Noles offense has tallied 277.5 yards per contest in the air overall and has 23 passing TDs so far. The Gators have recorded 292.3 pass yards per outing and have 28 total pass scores.
Defensively, Florida State has allowed 159.4 rush yards and 273.8 pass yards per game. The Florida D has given up 193 yards per game to opposing passers and 110.5 yards per game on the ground. The Gators are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.87 to opponents, while the Seminoles have allowed a 6.13 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Blackman is up to 1,599 yards this year, and has completed 138-of-217 attempts with 14 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 6.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 13.16 over the past two outings.
Kyle Trask has completed 158-of-237 passes for 1,930 yards, 18 TDs and four INTs for Florida. His ANY/A sits at 7.67 for the season and 7.90 over his past two outings.
Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Florida, ATS Winner: Florida, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Florida defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 38 times this year. Florida State has recorded just 29 sacks.
- Florida has lost eight fumbles in 2019 while Florida State has lost six.
- The Seminoles offense has created 14 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Gators have put up eight such plays.
- Both teams have allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Florida State defense has given up 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while Florida has yielded 10 such plays.
- The Florida State offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Florida has created 10 such runs.
- The Seminoles defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Gators have given up 13 such runs.
- The O/U for Florida’s last matchup was set at 51.5. The under cashed in the 23-6 victory over Missouri.
- In its last three games, Florida is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matchups, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Florida State’s previous game was set at 53.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-12 win over Alabama State.
- As a team, Florida State has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.7 over its last two.
- Florida has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.7 over its past two.