The seventh-ranked Duke Blue Devils (20-3, 10-2 ACC) and their outstanding offense will be 9-point favorites when they welcome the eighth-ranked Florida State Seminoles (20-3, 10-2 ACC) and their exceptional defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 149 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils Betting Odds
The Seminoles will be looking for similar success after covering the 13.5-point spread against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes in their last game, 99-81. The Blue Devils, on the other hand, topped the North Carolina Tar Heels,98-96, but failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Florida State game went 35.5 points over the projected point total of 144.5, while the Duke game went 44.5 points over the projected point total of 149.5.
The Seminoles, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.9, had an absurd mark of 51.6 and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.629 (above their season average of 0.521). The Blue Devils, meanwhile, forced 18 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.325 (above their season average of 0.237). Duke was lifted by Tre Jones, who finished with 28 points, six assists and five rebounds. Trent Forrest, meanwhile fueled Florida State with 10 points, six rebounds and six assists.
The Blue Devils dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent matchup, Duke won 73-63. Duke’s 0.509 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Florida State, who had a rate of 0.381. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Seminoles are playing, as 14 of their 23 games have finished over the O/U total. Florida State heads into the contest with records of 20-3 straight up (SU) and 12-11 against the spread (ATS).
Similarly to Florida State, games featuring the Blue Devils also tend to go over the projected point total (69.6 percent). Additionally, Duke is 20-3 SU and 12-11 ATS.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Duke takes on the stingy defense of Florida State. The Blue Devils rank ninth in offensive efficiency, while the Seminoles are 37th in defensive efficiency.
Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils ATS Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Florida State, ATS Winner – Florida State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Duke ranks 23rd in rebounds per game (39.9) while Florida State ranks 201st (34.4).
- The Blue Devils rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (16.1) while the Seminoles rank 135th (21.7).
- Florida State ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (9.6) while Duke ranks 119th (12.1).
- The Seminoles rank 14th in steals per game (9.0) while the Blue Devils rank 177th in steals allowed per game (7.2).
- Florida State ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.7) while Duke ranks 140th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
- Duke is 6-7 ATS at home, while Florida State is 6-5 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Seminoles’ 11 road games, while 10 of the Blue Devils’ 13 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Florida State and Duke are both 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Seminoles have scored an average of 75.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.6 points per game (4.7 above their season average).
- The Blue Devils’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.2, down from 17.0 for the season.
