Florida Gators vs. Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Prediction 03/21/19

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The No. 7 Nevada Wolf Pack (29-4) will be 1.5-point favorites in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament at Wells Fargo Arena when they square off with the No. 10 Florida Gators (19-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 133.5 points and action starts at 6:50 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21, 2019.

Florida Gators vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last game. The Wolf Pack fell to the San Diego State Aztecs, 65-56, while the Gators lost a winnable game to the 22nd-ranked Auburn Tigers, 65-62.

Florida did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (10-12; 83.3 percent) while Nevada held San Diego State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 29.6). Nevada was led by Tre’Shawn Thurman, who put up 11 points and 11 rebounds. Kevarrius Hayes led the way for Florida, recording 16 points and 12 rebounds.

Vegas tends to place the total high when the Gators are playing, as 23 of their 34 contests have finished under the total. Florida comes into the contest with records of 19-15 straight up (SU) and 15-18-1 against the spread (ATS).

Wolf Pack games also have a tendency to finish under the total (59.4 percent). Additionally, Nevada is 29-4 SU and 17-14-1 ATS.

The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the productive offense of Nevada takes on the stingy defense of Florida. The Wolf Pack rank 16th in offensive efficiency, while the Gators are 54th in defensive efficiency.

Florida Gators vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Nevada ranks 73rd in rebounds per game (37.4) while Florida ranks 240th (33.5).
  • The Gators rank 32nd in assists allowed per game (10.9) while the Wolf Pack rank 105th (12.5).
  • Nevada ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while Florida ranks 63rd (2.9).
  • The Gators rank 81st in three pointers attempted per game (24.4) while the Wolf Pack rank 210th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
  • Nevada ranks sixth in steals allowed per game (4.5) while Florida ranks 118th (6.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 67.8 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
  • The Wolf Pack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, down from 14.0 for the season.