The Drake Bulldogs (5-2) take on the Murray State Racers (4-2) in the Gulf Coast Showcase at Hertz Arena. The game gets underway at 1:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.
Drake Bulldogs vs. Murray State Racers ATS Odds
Both teams narrowly defeated their last opponent. The Racers defeated the Weber State Wildcats 69-68, while the Bulldogs beat the Northeastern Huskies 59-56.
The Bulldogs held the Huskies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.5 (below their season average of 25.9) and had a turnover percentage of 11.9 (better than their season average of 19.6). Meanwhile, Murray State’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Weber State. The Racers had a rate of 0.685 (above their season average of 0.532), while the Wildcats posted a mark of 0.536. KJ Williams had a solid game for Murray State with 23 points and five rebounds. Anthony Murphy played well for Drake, finishing with 17 points and seven rebounds.
Vegas tends to set the total high when the Bulldogs are involved, as 80.0 percent of their games have gone under the O/U total. Drake holds records of 5-2 straight up (SU) and 3-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Drake, Racers games have a tendency to go over the projected point total (100.0 percent). Murray State has a respectable 4-2 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (1-2 ATS).
There’s a decent chance that Drake struggles to create turnovers. Since last season, Murray State ranks 82nd in the country at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 17.4 percent), while Drake has forced the 93rd-fewest turnovers (17.9 percent). Moreover, the Bulldogs’ 39th-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.541) will face off against the Racers’ 29th-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.463).
Drake Bulldogs vs. Murray State Racers Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Murray State, ATS Winner – Murray State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2018-Present):
- Murray State ranks 61st in steals per game (7.3) while Drake ranks 256th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
- The Racers rank 57th in rebounds per game (37.8) while the Bulldogs rank 74th in rebounds allowed per game (33.2).
- The Bulldogs average 3.8 blocks per game, which ranks 97th in the NCAA. The Racers rank 219th in blocks allowed per game (3.8).
- Murray State ranks sixth in assists per game (17.5) while Drake ranks 39th (15.2).
