Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers will be facing off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Fox Sports Detroit is in line to televise this AL matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 1:07 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (-230) is favored against Detroit (+210) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. The games current runline odds stand at -105 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and -115 for the Blue Jays -1.5.

The Tigers are just 36-48 SU and are 44-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 2.1 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 39-43 SU and 39-42 ATS. They’ve lost 3.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 38-35-8 thus far in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 34-47-2.

Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann is projected to start for the visiting Tigers. Zimmermann (2-0, 4.35 ERA) has recorded 39 strikeouts in 41.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays are sending lefty J.A. Happ (10-3, 3.62 ERA) to the mound. Happ has 106 strikeouts and 27 walks to his name, as well as a 1.06 WHIP. Happ is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.80 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .247/.324/.392 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the charge for the Blue Jays hitters this year. Solarte is hitting .256/.313/.454 with 15 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .251/.284/.414 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.31 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.67, along with a K/9 of 8.14.

Tigers hitters have slashed .246/.308/.389 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .309/.356/.517 with 12 home runs, 49 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .270/.311/.381 with two homers, 28 RBIs, 27 runs and 12 steals.

The Tigers have gained 6.2 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 7.8 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 21 that went under.

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • Toronto has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.