Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

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Nicholas Castellanos and the struggling Detroit Tigers are paying a visit to PNC Park to do battle against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be televised on both ATPT and FSDT.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Las Vegas has Pittsburgh (-135) as the favorite over Detroit (+125). You can play game’s total with current odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. This game currently has a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-170) and Pirates -1.5 (+150).

The Tigers are just 25-43 SU and have gone 29-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 32-39 SU and 36-35 ATS. The team has lost 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Pirates games have a 42-27-2 over/under record thus far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 34 times, gone over 30 times and pushed on four occasions.

Daniel Norris will get the start for Detroit. The southpaw Norris is 2-5 with a 4.52 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Pirates are going with righty Mitch Keller (0-1, 15.43 ERA), who has nine punchouts and four walks as well as a WHIP of 3.00. Keller did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.67 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.13, along with a K-per-9 of 7.78.

Tigers hitters have slashed .229/.293/.377 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .259/.314/.440 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Cabrera (.294/.357/.394) is up to four homers, 29 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.03 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.24 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

Pittsburgh’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .312/.360/.508 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ hitters have been led by first baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte. Bell is hitting .321/.388/.653 with 19 home runs, 65 RBIs and 52 runs scored, and Marte’s line sits at .287/.325/.473 with 10 homers, 34 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 21-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, as opposed to 31 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 2.5 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to five which went under the total.

Tigers vs. Pirates MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Tigers have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.8 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
  • The Tigers have an OPS of .670 this season and an OPS of .657 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .733 overall and .752 against righties.