Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers will be taking on the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will broadcast this interleague matchup.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets Odds
The Tigers are 19-29 SU and are 19-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.0 units ATS. Detroit hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 24-26 SU and 25-24 ATS. The team’s lost 6.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 26-20-3 so far in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 21-25-1.
Ryan Carpenter will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Carpenter is 0-2 with a 13.00 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets will put the ball in the left hand of Jason Vargas (1-2, 5.92 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and 12 walks this season as well as a 1.56 WHIP. Vargas did not re a start against the Tigers in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.56, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 7.81.
The Tigers offense has slashed .225/.292/.368 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .306/.381/.387 with 53 hits, 21 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Castellanos has a .267 average with 50 hits, four homers, 14 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .255/.344/.528 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by outfielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .259/.301/.411 with five homers, 27 RBIs and 16 runs.
The Tigers have lost 0.7 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.3 units and are 7-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five which went under the total.
Tigers at Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Detroit has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 22 XBH over its last five.
- New York has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Tigers have an OPS of .660 this season and an OPS of .727 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .732 overall and .781 against southpaws.
