Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Matchup

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The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their divisional rival Minnesota Twins in a Sunday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast the matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (receiving -190 odds) is a solid favorite against Detroit and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Tigers +1.5 runs (-125) and Twins -1.5 runs (+105).

Both teams have made bettors happy this year. The Twins are 7-4 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Tigers have gone 8-6 SU this year and are 8-5 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 5.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 1.3 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Twins games have had an over/under record of 6-4 so far in 2019. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 3-10.

Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (0-1, 2.50 ERA) will get the ball for the visiting Tigers. Zimmermann started 25 games last year while finishing the season 7-8 overall with a 4.52 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. He made two starts against the Twins in 2018 and put together a 1-1 record against them with a 4.50 ERA and three strikeouts.

The Twinkies are going with righty Jose Berrios (1-1, 2.18 ERA) as their starter. Berrios recorded 202 strikeouts across 192 innings last year (with only 61 walks), while finishing the season 12-11 overall with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He made two starts against the Tigers a year ago and registered a 1-0 record with a 1.93 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In six games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.29.

The Minnesota offense has put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .266/.330/.515 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .372/.417/.721 with 16 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored, and Kepler’s line is .277/.333/.489 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and five runs.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.87 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.88 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.51, along with a WHIP of 1.07.

Tigers hitters have slashed .199/.280/.308 on their way to 2.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Miguel Cabrera and Niko Goodrum have led Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .260/.362/.280 with 13 hits, three RBIs and two runs scored. Goodrum is hitting .293/.420/.512 with 12 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored.

The Tigers have gained 5.7 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 3.6 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to four which went under the total.

Tigers vs. Twins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven outings.
  • The Tigers have a total OPS of .588 this season and an OPS of .584 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .806 overall and .790 versus righties.
  • The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Detroit has posted 17.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.