The Detroit Tigers are set to face off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in Game 2 of a doubleheader. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will be showing this AL showdown.
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Boston (-165) as the favorite over Detroit (+155). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go below 9.5 runs, then Vegas is teeing up -115 odds to play the under. Playing the over return -105 odds. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-140) and Red Sox -1.5 (+120) for this matchup.
The Tigers have gone 10-10 SU this year and are 11-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 0.4 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 9-13 SU and 6-16 ATS. They’ve lost 12.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.9 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Boston games have a 12-9-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Detroit has been a decent under bet with a total record of 7-13.
The right-handed Spencer Turnbull is projected to start for Detroit. Turnbull is 0-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Hector Velazquez (0-1, 2.84 ERA), who has 10 strikeouts and four walks as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Velazquez did not register a start against the Tigers in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.22 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.11 and a K-per-9 of 8.69.
Tigers hitters have slashed .218/.292/.346 on their way to 3.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .267/.349/.307 with 20 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Castellanos (.261/.316/.406) is up to 18 hits, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 6.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 6.28 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.7 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .222/.301/.389 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Left fielder J.D. Martinez and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is hitting .350/.441/.563 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and the line for Bogaerts stands at .276/.364/.434 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs.
The Tigers have gained 3.5 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 7.5 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that went under the total.
Tigers at Red Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
- Detroit has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 14 XBH over its last five.
- Boston has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Tigers have an OPS of .638 this season and an OPS of .644 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .693 overall and .678 versus righties.