Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-195) as the favorite over Detroit (+182). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds standing at -120 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 42-33 straight up (SU) and 35-39 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Tigers are 36-41 SU and have gone 42-34 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 7.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Indians games have had an over/under record of 39-33-2 so far in 2018. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 32-42-2.

The left-handed Matthew Boyd is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Boyd (4-5, 3.63 ERA) has racked up 64 punchouts in 79.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians are sending righty Adam Plutko (3-1, 5.04 ERA) to the mound. Plutko has 18 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Plutko hasn’t faced the Tigers yet this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.34.

Tigers hitters have slashed .249/.312/.395 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offense has been sparked by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .300/.346/.483 with nine home runs, 41 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Iglesias (.273/.318/.395) has produced two homers, 28 RBIs, 26 runs and 12 stolen bases.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 3.30 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 37 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.61 and the bullpens ERA is 3.54.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .272/.389/.457 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the charge for the Indians hitters this year. Lindor is slashing .291/.369/.542 with 18 home runs, 42 RBIs, 60 runs and 10 steals, and Ramirez line is .289/.396/.604 with 22 homers, 51 RBIs, 53 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Tigers have gained 0.4 units and are 29-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 2.7 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine which went under the total.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • Detroit fielders have six errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
  • The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.