Miguel Cabrera and the slumping Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Baltimore to face the Orioles at Camden Yards. Fox Sports Detroit will be airing this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). There’s a runline of Tigers -1.5 (+140) and Orioles +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.
The Tigers are only 19-31 SU and have gone 21-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.9 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 16-37 SU and 20-32 ATS. The team’s lost 7.4 units for moneyline bettors and 14.4 units ATS.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 27-22-3 so far in 2019. The Tigers have an over/under record of 22-25-2.
Daniel Norris will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Norris is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 11.57 ERA and two strikeouts over 2.1 innings).
The Orioles will be sending righty Gabriel Ynoa (0-1, 5.60 ERA) to the mound. Ynoa has 18 strikeouts and six walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.58. Ynoa did not pitch in the majors in 2018.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.47, along with a K-per-9 of 7.62.
The Tigers offense has slashed .225/.294/.366 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .302/.377/.380 with 54 hits, 21 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Castellanos (.269/.315/.452) is up to 53 hits, five homers, 18 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.63, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 6.09 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .294/.352/.517 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .307/.355/.553 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Villar’s line sits at .256/.309/.414 with six homers, 24 RBIs, 33 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Tigers have lost 3.0 units and are 16-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.3 units and are 5-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that went under.
Tigers vs. Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have dropped 11 of their last 12 games SU.
- Baltimore has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
- The Tigers have a team OPS of .659 this season and an OPS of .647 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .707 overall and .700 versus righties.
