Detroit Tigers at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

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The Detroit Tigers will be squaring off against the Atlanta Braves in a Saturday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Detroit will televise this interleague matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Detroit (+195) is the underdog to Atlanta (-215) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds sit at -110 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and -110 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 30-27 straight up (SU) and 27-29 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.6 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 22-32 SU and have gone 24-29 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Braves games have had an over/under record of 27-24-5 so far in 2019. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 22-29-2.

The left-handed Daniel Norris will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Norris is 2-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves will turn to righty Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.07 ERA), who has 46 strikeouts and 15 walks, along with a 0.89 WHIP. Soroka did not record a start against the Tigers in 2018.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.24, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.46 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .223/.295/.295 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the way for the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is hitting .307/.396/.555 with 13 home runs, 32 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .265/.323/.413 with seven homers, 24 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.17, along with a K/9 of 7.83.

The Tigers offense has slashed .226/.293/.374 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .268/.313/.465 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Cabrera (.284/.356/.356) has produced two homers, 22 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 4.1 units and are 18-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.0 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.

Tigers at Braves MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • The Tigers have a total OPS of .666 this season and an OPS of .658 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .763 overall and .746 versus righties.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Atlanta has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.