The Detroit Pistons (8-6), 8.5-point underdogs, will travel to the Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets (8-7). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
Detroit Pistons at Houston Rockets ATS Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Rockets (12-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings 132-112, while the Pistons (9.5-point favorites) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 113-102. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Houston game went 24.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Detroit game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5.
The Pistons had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 34.2 (above their season average of 25.5) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.534 (above their season average of 0.486). Meanwhile, Houston’s 0.247 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.088. The Rockets’ mark was above their season average of 0.192, while the Kings’ was below their season average of 0.178. Houston was led by Clint Capela, who finished with 23 points and 16 rebounds. Meanwhile, Andre Drummond fueled Detroit with 23 points and 16 rebounds.
This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last game, the Rockets won 100-96. Getting to the free throw line was one of Houston’s largest advantages. They had 28 free throw attempts, while Detroit had 19. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
There does not appear to be a trend for games involving the Pistons in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Detroit holds records of 8-6 straight up (SU) and 7-7 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Rockets games have finished under the total. Further, Houston is 8-7 SU and 7-8 ATS.
Drummond has really been playing well recently for Detroit, averaging 21 points,17.6 rebounds,1.8 blocks,1.6 steals over the last five games.
It could be a difficult game for Houston on the offensive glass. The Rockets rank 15th in offensive rebounding percentage (23.7 percent), while Detroit ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (81.2 percent).
Detroit Pistons vs. Houston Rockets Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets rank 22 in fast break points per game (11.333333333333334) while the Pistons rank 26 (10.714285714285714).
- Houston ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.1) while Detroit ranks 27th (4.0).
- The Pistons rank 10th in points in the paint per game (48.9) while the Rockets rank 27th (41.3).
- Houston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.5) while Detroit ranks 16th (23.8).
- Both of these teams like to shoot the long ball. Houston leads the NBA with 42.53333333333333 three pointers per game while Detroit is 5 with 35.07142857142857 threes per game.
- The Pistons rank fourth in rebounds per game (48.5) while the Rockets rank 26th (41.1).
- The Pistons rank 3 in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.142857142857142) while the Rockets rank 13 (16.666666666666668).
- Houston averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 9 in the league. Detroit ranks 12 in steals allowed per game (7.428571428571429).
- Detroit ranks fourth in second chance points per game (16.0) while Houston ranks 23rd (12.3).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 1-0 and Houston is 4-2.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Pistons are 8-4 and the Rockets are 6-3.
- Detroit is 5-2 ATS on the road, while Houston is 3-4 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the Pistons’ 7 road games, while 4 of the Rockets’ 7 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Detroit and Houston are both 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (5.3 below their season average).
- The Rockets have outscored opponents by an average of 11.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Houston has lost by an average of 0.3 points.
